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Dengue virus (DV) is a positive-strand RNA virus of the Flavivirus genus. It is one of the most prevalent mosquito-borne viruses, infecting globally 390 million individuals per year. The clinical spectrum of DV infection ranges from an asymptomatic course to severe complications such as dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and dengue shock syndrome (DSS), the latter because of severe plasma leakage. Given that the outcome of infection is likely determined by the kinetics of viral replication and the antiviral host cell immune response (HIR) it is of importance to understand the interaction between these two parameters. In this study, we use mathematical modeling to characterize and understand the complex interplay between intracellular DV replication and the host cells' defense mechanisms. We first measured viral RNA, viral protein, and virus particle production in Huh7 cells, which exhibit a notoriously weak intrinsic antiviral response. Based on these measurements, we developed a detailed intracellular DV replication model. We then measured replication in IFN competent A549 cells and used this data to couple the replication model with a model describing IFN activation and production of IFN stimulated genes (ISGs), as well as their interplay with DV replication. By comparing the cell line specific DV replication, we found that host factors involved in replication complex formation and virus particle production are crucial for replication efficiency. Regarding possible modes of action of the HIR, our model fits suggest that the HIR mainly affects DV RNA translation initiation, cytosolic DV RNA degradation, and naïve cell infection. We further analyzed the potential of direct acting antiviral drugs targeting different processes of the DV lifecycle in silico and found that targeting RNA synthesis and virus assembly and release are the most promising anti-DV drug targets.
Plus‐strand RNA [(+)RNA] viruses are the largest group of viruses, medically highly relevant human pathogens, and are a socio‐economic burden. The current global pandemic of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2) shows how a virus has been rapidly spreading around the globe and that– without an antiviral treatment– virus trans mission is solely dependent on human behavior. However, other (+)RNA viruses such as rhino‐, noro‐, dengue‐ (DENV), Zika, and hepatitis C virus (HCV) are constantly spreading and expanding geographically. As in the case of hepatitis C, since its first identification in the 1970s, it took more than 30 years to understand the HCV structure, genome organiza t ion, life cycle, and virus‐host interplay leading to the cure of a chronic and life‐threatening disease. However, no vaccination or antiviral treatment exists for most (+)RNA viruses. Con sequently, a precise and comprehensive analysis of the viruses, their life cycles, and parasitic interactions with their hosts remains an important field of research. In the presented thesis, we use mathematical modeling to study the life cycles of (+)RNA viruses. We analyze replication strategies of closely related (+)RNA viruses, namely HCV, DENV, and coxsackievirus B3 (CVB3), to compare their life cycles in the presence and ab sence of the host’s immune response and antiviral drug treatment and consider different viral spreading mechanisms. Host dependency factors shape the viral life cycle, contribut ing to permissiveness and replication efficiency. Our mathematical models predicted that host dependency factors, such as ribosomes, and thus the virus’ ability to hijack the host cell’s translation machinery play an essential role in the viral genome replication efficiency. Furthermore, our mathematical model suggested that the availability of ribosomes in the vi ral life cycle is a crucial factor in disease outcome: the development of an acute or chronic disease. Even though the host developed strategies to attack the virus, e.g., by degrading the viral genome, blocking the viral protein production, and preventing viral spread, viruses found strategies to countermeasure those so‐called host restriction factors derived from the immune system. Our mathematical models predicted that DENV might be highly effective in blocking the cell’s attempts to recognize the invader. Moreover, we found ongoing HCV RNAreplication even with highly effective antiviral drugs that block processes in the viral life cycle. Furthermore, we found alternative pathways of infection spread, e.g., by HCV RNA carrying exosomes, which may be a possible explanation for reported plasma HCV RNA at the end of treatment, found in a subset of patients. Hence, the mathematical models presented in this thesis provide valuable tools to study the viral replication mechanism in detail. Even though being a simplification of reality, our model predictions confirm and explain known and suggest novel biological mechanisms. In the pre sented thesis, I will summarize and discuss key findings and contextualize model predictions in the broader scientific literature to improve our understanding of the viral dynamics and the virus‐host interplay.