510 Mathematik
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Geometric T-Duality
(2022)
From a physicists point of view T-duality is a relation connecting string
theories on different spacetimes. Mathematically speaking, T-duality should be a symmetric relation on
the space of toroidal string backgrounds. Such a background consists of: a smooth manifold M; a torus bundle E over M - the total space modelling spacetime; a Riemannian metric g on E - modelling the field of gravity; a U(1)-bundle gerbe G with connection over E - modelling the Kalb-
Ramond field.
But as of now no complete model for T-duality exists. The three most notable
approaches for T-duality are given by the differential approaches by Buscher in the form of the Buscher rules and by Bouwknegt, Evslin and Mathai in the form of T-duality with H-flux on the one hand, and by the topological approach given by Bunke, Rumpf and Schick which is known as topological T-duality. In this thesis we combine these different approaches to form the first model for T-duality over complete geometric toroidal string backgrounds and we will introduce an example for this geometric T-duality inspired by the Hopf bundle.
Discovering Latent Structure in High-Dimensional Healthcare Data: Toward Improved Interpretability
(2022)
This cumulative thesis describes contributions to the field of interpretable machine learning in the healthcare domain. Three research articles are presented that lie at the intersection of biomedical and machine learning research. They illustrate how incorporating latent structure can provide a valuable compression of the information hidden in complex healthcare data.
Methodologically, this thesis gives an overview of interpretable machine learning and the discovery of latent structure, including clusters, latent factors, graph structure, and hierarchical structure. Different workflows are developed and applied to two main types of complex healthcare data (cohort study data and time-resolved molecular data). The core result builds on Bayesian networks, a type of probabilistic graphical model. On the application side, we provide accurate predictive or discriminative models focusing on relevant medical conditions, related biomarkers, and their interactions.
Spatial variation in survival has individual fitness consequences and influences population dynamics. It proximately and ultimately impacts space use including migratory connectivity. Therefore, knowing spatial patterns of survival is crucial to understand demography of migrating animals. Extracting information on survival and space use from observation data, in particular dead recovery data, requires explicitly identifying the observation process. The main aim of this work is to establish a modeling framework which allows estimating spatial variation in survival, migratory connectivity and observation probability using dead recovery data. We provide some biological background on survival and migration and a short methodological overview of how similar situations are modeled in literature.
Afterwards, we provide REML-like estimators for discrete space and show identifiability of all three parameters using the characteristics of the multinomial distribution. Moreover, we formulate a model in continuous space using mixed binomial point processes. The continuous model assumes a constant recovery probability over space. To drop this strict assumption, we develop an optimization procedure combining the discrete and continuous space model. Therefore, we use penalized M-splines. In simulation studies we demonstrate the performance of the estimators for all three model approaches. Furthermore, we apply the models to real-world data sets of European robins \textit{Erithacus rubecula} and ospreys \textit{Pandion haliaetus}.
We discuss how this study can be embedded in the framework of animal movement and the capture mark recapture/recovery methodology. It can be seen as a contribution and an extension to distance sampling, local stationary everyday movement and dispersal. We emphasize the importance of having a mathematically clearly formulated modeling framework for applied methods. Moreover, we comment on model assumptions and their limits. In the future, it would be appealing to extend this framework to the full annual cycle and carry-over effects.