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Abstract
In the 21st century, most of the world’s glaciers are expected to retreat due to further global warming. The range of this predicted retreat varies widely as a result of uncertainties in climate and glacier models. To calibrate and validate glacier models, past records of glacier mass balance are necessary, which often only span several decades. Long-term reconstructions of glacier mass balance could increase the precision of glacier models by providing the required calibration data. Here we show the possibility of applying shrub growth increments as an on-site proxy for glacier summer mass balance, exemplified by Salix shrubs in Finse, Norway. We further discuss the challenges which this method needs to meet and address the high potential of shrub growth increments for reconstructing glacier summer mass balance in remote areas.
Abstract: The Arctic has experienced a pronounced increase in air temperature over the last four decades, with an average increase of 0.4 °C per decade and thus an increase of almost the double rate than that of temperate regions. Remote sensing studies and repeat photography of historical images have shown large-scale increases of plant productivity in tundra ecosystems over the same time period. A pronounced size, abundance and biomass increase of shrubs has been observed. This so called shrub expansion has important repercussions for the vegetation, the animals, the soil, the energy and the carbon balance of the Arctic tundra and on regional and global climate. As the comparison of historical photographs with recent photographs has shown, this shrub expansion occurs on different temporal and spatial scales with areas of strong increase in shrub cover (expanding patches) and areas without noticeable changes in shrub vegetation (stable patches). While remote sensing approaches for the detection of changes in vegetation are limited in their temporal coverage and so far also in their resolution, historical photographs with high resolution are often not available. Experimental studies have shown that an increase in nutrients or temperature often resulted in increased shrub biomass, but findings were partly contradictory, referred to short term observations and usually confined to small areas. To bridge the gap between spatially limited plot-scale experiments and global large-scale assessment of plant productivity by satellite derived pictures, dendrochronology was used in this thesis to analyze the drivers for and the rate of shrub growth of different widespread evergreen and deciduous shrub species in alpine and arctic tundra and to reconstruct historic environmental conditions. In detail, this doctoral thesis was conducted to study shrub growth and to assess the applicability of traditional dendrochronological methods on shrubs that had been so far mainly applied to trees and to test whether shrubs differed morphologically from trees. Further, I was determined to look for evidence for a possible Scandinavian shrub range expansion and to assess which climatic factors – temperature, precipitation or snow – influenced shrub growth significantly. Moreover, we aimed to find the reason for the observed heterogeneity of the shrub expansion on the landscape and its relevance for the three most common shrubs on the Alaskan tundra. The methods applied followed the routines usually applied for dendrochronological analyses of treerings, with the exception that usually several stem discs of the main stem were analyzed and frequently had to be prepared with help of a microtome as thin-sections, that were stained and sealed on a coverglass before annual shrubrings were measured. The averaged shrubring widths were then compared with environmental factors through correlation and regression methods. This thesis gives first a general introduction to climate change in the Arctic, shrub expansion on the tundra, the scientific discipline of dendrochronology or -ecology on shrubs and its development, the main research questions and the thesis outline. Then seven research papers are presented and the main results and conclusions are synthesized and discussed and finally possible venues of future research are outlined. The most important insights gained from this thesis are the following: I) Dendroecological methods can be applied to shrubs. Insights into shrub morphology have been gained by detecting an interesting mechanism for coping with adverse environmental conditions of both, trees and shrubs that can save resources by confining the production of wood to the upper parts of the stem. II) Further, I found evidence for a shrub expansion in Scandinavia. III) I could establish the causal link between the current climate warming and increased radial and vertical shrub growth by identifying summer temperature as main driver for shrub growth. IV) Results from the Alaskan tundra indicate a strongly adverse role of snow for shrub growth in stable patches, refuting the popular snow-shrub-microbe hypothesis for this extensive area across species. The differing influence of snow is likely linked to the presence of permafrost and shallow active layers and the snow’s contribution to moist or even anoxic conditions in Alaska. V) Furthermore, we found that the different rates and the spatial heterogeneity of shrub expansion are accompanied by strong differences in the surrounding vegetation composition and the soil parameters of expanding (accustomed to more favorable conditions) and stable shrub patches. VI) These differences are predisposed by shrub patch position within the landscape, comprising different levels and rates of disturbance. VII) Additionally, shrub ring records were successfully used as natural archives to model past temperature dynamics respectively summer glacier mass balance with high accuracy. VIII) Finally, a synthesis of the climate-growth relationships of shrubs of more than 25 sites around the Arctic as joined effort together with other leading shrub researchers supports the presence of a circumpolar shrub expansion, gives recommendations for methods used in shrub dendroecology and lays out future research directions. The findings of my dissertation research show that the analysis of shrubs by dendroecological methods yields highly interesting results, and they greatly improved our understanding of factors that influence individual shrub growth, the reconstruction of earlier environmental conditions as well as the reconstruction and assessment of plant population dynamics.
Dendrochronology, the science of tree-rings is a tool which has been widely used for many years for understanding changes in the environment, as trees react to environmental changes over time. In the contemporary situation, where climate warming in the Arctic is unequivocal and its effects on the Alpine and tundra ecosystems are seen pronouncedly in the past decade, the role of dendro-studies and the use of trees and shrubs alike as proxies of change has become critical. Studies clearly indicate that warming in the Arctic and Alpine tundra has resulted in increased vegetation in recent years. Shrubs, in these sensitive ecosystems, have proven to be highly instrumental as they likely benefit from this warming and hence are good indicators and auditees of this change. Therefore, in this study, we investigate the potential of shrubs in the evolving field of dendro-ecology/climatology.
Studies from classical dendrochronology used annual rings from trees. Further, because of shrub sensitivity to contemporary change, shrub-based dendrochronological research has increased at a notable scale in the last decade and will likely continue. This is because shrubs grow even beyond the tree line and promise environmental records from areas where tree growth is very limited or absent. However, a common limitation noted by most shrub studies is the very hard cross-dating due to asynchronous growth patterns. This limitation poses a major hurdle in shrub-based dendrochronological studies, as it renders weak detection of common signals in growth patterns in population stands. This common signal is traced by using a ‘site-chronology’.
In this dissertation, I studied shrub growth through various resolutions, starting from understanding radial growth within individuals along the length of the stem, to comparison of radial growth responses among male and female shrubs, to comparing growth responses among trees and shrubs to investigation of biome-wide functional trait responses to current warming. Apart from Chapter 4 and Chapter 6, I largely used Juniperus communis sp. for investigations as it is the most widely distributed woody dioecious species often used in dendro-ecological investigations in the Northern Hemisphere.
Primarily, we investigated radial growth patterns within shrubs to better understand growth within individuals by comparing different stem-disks from different stem heights within individuals. We found significant differences in radial growth from different stem-disks with respect to stem heights from same individuals. Furthermore, we found that these differences depending on the choice of the stem-disk affect the resulting site-chronology and hence climate-sensitivity to a substantial extent and that the choice of a stem-disk is a crucial precursor which affects climate-growth relationships.
Secondly, we investigated if gender difference – often reported causing differential radial growth in dioecious trees – is an influential factor for heterogeneous growth. We found that at least in case of Juniperus communis. L and Juniperus communis ssp nana. WILLD there is no substantial gender biased difference in radial growth which might affect the site-chronology. We did find moderate differences between sexes in an overall analysis and attribute this to reproductive effort in females.
In our study to test the potential of shrubs for reconstruction, we used a test case of Alnus viridis ssp crispa. We found a strong correlation between ring-width indices and summer temperature. Initially, the model failed the stability tests when we tested the stability of this relation using a response function model. However, using wood-anatomical analysis we discovered that this was because of abnormal cell-wall formation resulting in very thin rings in the year 2004. Pointer year analysis revealed that the thin rings were caused because of a moth larval outbreak and when corrected for these rings the model passed all stability tests.
Furthermore, to see if trees and shrubs growing in same biomes react to environmental changes similarly, a network analysis with sites ranging from the Mediterranean biome to the Ural Mountains in Russia was carried out. We found that shrubs react better to the current climate warming and have a decoupled divergent temperature response as compared to coexisting trees. This outcome reiterated the importance of shrub studies in relation to contemporary climate change. Even though trees and shrubs are woody forms producing annual rings, they have very different growth patterns and need different methods for analysis and data treatment.
Finally, in a domain-wide network analysis from plant-community vegetation survey, we investigated functional relationships between plant traits (leaf area, plant height, leaf nitrogen content, specific leaf area (SLA), and leaf dry matter content (LDMC)) and abiotic factors viz. temperature and soil moisture. We found a strong relation between summer temperature and community height, SLA and LDMC on a spatial scale. Contrarily, the temporal-analysis revealed SLA and LDMC lagged and did not respond to temperature over the last decade. We realized that there are complex interactions between intra-specific and inter-specific plant traits which differ spatially and temporally impacting Arctic ecosystems in terms of carbon turn over, surface albedo, water balance and heat-energy fluxes. We found that ecosystem functions in the Arctic are closely linked with plant height and will be indicative of warming in the short term future becoming key factors in modelling ecosystem projections.
Individual white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) growth limitations at treelines in Alaska
(2018)
White spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) is one of the most common conifers in Alaska and various treelines mark the species distribution range. Because treelines positions are driven by climate and because climate change is estimated to be strongest in northern latitudes, treeline shifts appear likely. However, species range shifts depend on various species parameters, probably most importantly on phenotypic plasticity, genetic adaptation
and dispersal. Due to their long generation cycles and their immobility, trees evolved to endure a wide variety of climatic conditions. In most locations, interannual climate variability is larger than the expected climate change until 2100. Thus treeline position is typically thought of as the integrated effect of multiple years and to lag behind gradual climate change by several decades. Past dendrochronological studies revealed that growth of white spruce in Alaska can be limited by several climatic variables, in particular water stress and low temperatures. Depending on how the intensity of climate warming, this could result in a leading range edge at treelines limited by low temperatures and trailing treelines where soil moisture is or becomes most limiting. Climate-growth correlations are the dendrochronological version of reaction norms and describe the relationship between an environmental variable and traits like tree-ring parameters (e.g. ring width, wood density, wood anatomy). These correlations can be used to explore potential effects of climate change on a target species. However, it is known that individuals differ with respect to multiple variables like size, age, microsite conditions, competition status or their genome. Such individual differences could be important because they can modulate climate-growth relationships and consequently also range shifts and growth trends. Removing individual differences by averaging tree-ring parameters of many individuals into site chronologies could be an oversimplification that might bias estimates of future white spruce performance. Population dynamics that emerge from the interactions of individuals (e.g. competition) and the range of reactions to the same environmental drivers can only be studied via individual tree analyses. Consequently, this thesis focuses on factors that might alter individual white spruce’ climate sensitivity and methods to assess such effects. In particular, the research articles included explore three topics:
1. First, clones were identified via microsatellites and high-frequency climate signals of clones were compared to that of non-clonal individuals. Clonal and non-clonal individuals showed similar high-frequency climate signals which allows to use clonal and non-clonal individuals to construct mean site chronologies. However, clones were more frequently found under the harsher environmental conditions at the treelines which could be of interest for the species survival strategy at alpine treelines and is further explored in the associated RESPONSE project A5 by David Würth.
2. In the second article, methods for the exploration and visualization of individual-tree differences in climate sensitivity are described. These methods represent a toolbox to explore causes for the variety of different climate sensitivities found in individual
trees at the same site. Though, overlaying gradients of multiple factors like temperature, tree density and/or tree height can make it difficult to attribute a single cause to the range of reaction norms (climate growth correlations).
3. Lastly, the third article attempts to disentangle the effect of age and size on climate-growth correlations. Multiple past studies found that trees of different Ages responded differently to climatic drivers. In contrast, other studies found that trees do not age like many other organisms. Age and size of a trees are roughly correlated, though there are large differences in the growth rate of trees, which can lead to smaller trees that are older than taller trees. Consequently, age is an imperfect Proxy for size and in contrast to age, size has been shown to affect wood anatomy and thus tree physiology. The article compares two tree-age methods and one tree-size method based on cumulative ring width. In line with previous research on aging and Wood anatomy, tree size appeared to be the best predictor to explain ontogenetic changes in white spruce’ climate sensitivity. In particular, tallest trees exhibited strongest correlations with water stress in previous year July. In conclusion, this thesis is about factors that can alter climate-growth relationships (reaction norms) of white spruce. The results emphasize that interactions between climate variables and other factors like tree size or competition status are important for estimates of future tree growth and potential treeline shifts. In line with previous studies on white spruce in Alaska, the results of this thesis underline the importance of water stress for white spruce.
Individuals that are taller and that have more competitors for water appear to be most susceptible to the potentially drier future climate in Alaska. While tree ring based growth trends estimates of white spruce are difficult to derive due to multiple overlaying low frequency (>10 years) signals, all investigated treeline sites showed highest growth at the treeline edge. This could indicate expanding range edges. However, a potential bottleneck for treeline advances and retreats could be seedling establishment, which should be explored in more detail in the future.
Tree growth at northern boreal treelines is generally limited by summer temperature, hence tree rings serve as natural archives of past climatic conditions. However, there is increasing evidence that a changing summer climate as well as certain micro-site conditions can lead to a weakening or loss of the summer temperature signal in trees growing in treeline environments. This phenomenon poses a challenge to all applications relying on stable temperature-growth relationships such as temperature reconstructions and dynamic vegetation models. We tested the effect of differing ecological and climatological conditions on the summer temperature signal of Scots pine at its northern distribution limits by analyzing twelve sites distributed along a 2200 km gradient from Finland to Western Siberia (Russia). Two frequently used proxies in dendroclimatology, ring width and maximum latewood density, were correlated with summer temperature for the period 1901–2013 separately for (i) dry vs. wet micro-sites and (ii) years with dry/warm vs. wet/cold climate regimes prevailing during the growing season. Differing climate regimes significantly affected the temperature signal of Scots pine at about half of our sites: While correlations were stronger in wet/cold than in dry/warm years at most sites located in Russia, differing climate regimes had only little effect at Finnish sites. Both tree-ring proxies were affected in a similar way. Interestingly, micro-site differences significantly affected absolute tree growth, but had only minor effects on the climatic signal at our sites. We conclude that, despite the treeline-proximal location, growth-limiting conditions seem to be exceeded in dry/warm years at most Russian sites, leading to a weakening or loss of the summer temperature signal in Scots pine here. With projected temperature increase, unstable summer temperature signals in Scots pine tree rings might become more frequent, possibly affecting dendroclimatological applications and related fields.
Species have to cope with climate change either by migration or by adaptation and acclimatisation. Especially for long-living tree species with a low seed dispersal capacity (e.g. European beech, hereafter called beech), the in situ responses through genetic adaptation and phenotypic plasticity play an important role for their persistence. Beech, the dominant climax tree species in Central Europe, shows a high drought sensitivity and its distribution range is expected to shift northwards. On the other hand, projected northward shifts need to be taken with caution, as some studies suggest a sensitivity of beech to frost events in winter and spring. However, studies on the growth performance of cold-marginal beech populations are still rare. Previous studies on beech populations found local adaptation to drought and phenotypic plasticity in fitness-related traits as well as phenological traits. However, studies on the regeneration of beech under natural conditions are yet missing, although germination and establishment of young trees are a very first selective bottleneck and are crucial for tree population persistence and for successful range shifts.
This PhD-thesis aimed to identify the potential of plasticity and local adaptation in the important early life-history traits germination, establishment after the 1st year, and survival after the 2nd year in a reciprocal transplantation experiment at 11 sites across and even beyond the distribution range of beech (Manuscript 1). Moreover, this thesis investigated the climate sensitivity and the adaptation potential of beech populations by conducting dendroecological studies along a large climatic gradient across the distribution range (Manuscript 2) and along a strong winter temperature gradient towards the cold distribution margin in Poland (Manuscript 3). In addition, the impact of local climatic singularities was studied in a local study at the southern margin (Manuscript 4).
Warm and dry conditions limited natural regeneration, which was indicated by very low survival of young trees, even though germination rates increased with increasing temperature (Manuscript 1). This was also the case in parts of the distribution centre due to the hot and dry conditions in 2018. Although the transplantation experiment revealed high plasticity in the early life-history traits, this plasticity might thus not buffer against climate change under dry conditions. Local adaptation was not detected for any of these traits along the climatic gradient. In contrast, the results of the dendroecological study across the gradient (Manuscript 2) hint towards an adaptation potential of adult trees to drought at the southern margin. Thus, adult trees seemed to be adapted to drought at the southern margin, whereas tree growth in the distribution centre was sensitive to drought. These results indicate that parts of the centre may become ecologically marginal with increasing drought frequency in times of climate change. Interestingly, Manuscript 4 shows that beech growth was positively influenced by frequent fog immersion at the southern distribution margin in north-eastern Spain. This study underlines the importance of local climatic singularities, as they may allow marginal populations to grow in climate refugia in an otherwise unfavourable climate.
At the cold distribution margin, the study in Manuscript 1 found a remarkably higher survival of young trees in Sweden than in Poland. Moreover, the dendroecological studies revealed that beech was hampered by both drought at the cold-dry margin (Manuscript 2) and by winter cold at the cold-wet margin in Poland (Manuscript 3). All these results highlight the importance to study climate sensitivity of adult trees and the response of early life-history traits at the cold margin with a more differentiated view comparing cold-dry against the cold-wet populations and growing conditions. However, the high plasticity of the early life-history traits may allow for an increasing germination rate with climate warming at the northern margin and may thus facilitate natural regeneration there. In contrast, the dendroecological studies suggest that adult trees at the cold distribution margin may suffer either from drought or from winter cold and that the risk for spring frost may increase. Thus, the often-predicted compensation of dry-marginal population decline by a northward range expansion should be discussed more critically.
In conclusion, my PhD thesis provides new knowledge about the potential of natural regeneration and about climate sensitivity of adult trees across the distribution range of beech. Moreover, it underlines the importance to study both the young tree stages as well as adult trees to assess the performance and vulnerability of tree species under climate change, as both showed differences in their response to changing environmental conditions.
Tree growth in northern and upper treeline ecotones of the circumpolar boreal forest is
generally limited by temperature, i.e., trees grow generally more under warm, and less under
cold climatic conditions. Based on the assumption that this relationship between tree growth
and climate is linear and stable through time, dendroclimatologists use tree rings as natural
archives to reconstruct past temperature conditions. Such tree-ring based reconstructions,
together with other natural archives (e.g., ice cores and pollen), constitute our understanding of
past climatic conditions that reach beyond modern instrumental records.
However, a steadily increasing amount of studies reports a recent reduction or loss of the
summer temperature signal for several species and sites of the boreal forest. Such a reduction
of temperature sensitivity results in temporally unstable climate-tree growth relationships,
which challenges the work of dendroclimatologists by potentially leading to miscalibrations of
past climatic conditions. On the upside, this shift in the trees’ climate sensitivity might point to
a shift in tree growth-limiting factors and thus serve as an early indicator of climate change
impacts. There is evidence that this recent reduction in temperature sensitivity might be caused
by the observed strong temperature increase at high latitudes, and thus temperature-induced
drought stress. Other potential drivers and amplifiers of this phenomenon are differing microsite
conditions (dry vs. wet soils) and factors inherent to trees, like genetic properties or age
effects.
In this PhD thesis, I systematically assessed the effects of frequently discussed drivers of
unstable climate-tree growth relationships (climate change, micro-site effects, genetical
predisposition) on two representative species of the boreal forest, white spruce in North
America and Scots pine in Eurasia, across various temporal and spatial scales. I used classical
(tree-ring width) and more novel (wood density, quantitative wood anatomy)
dendrochronological proxies to unravel the effects from annual to sub-monthly resolution.
More precisely, in chapter I, white spruce clones were compared to non-clones at two treeline
sites in Alaska to test whether their growth patterns differ, and whether white spruce clones are
generally suitable for dendroclimatic assessments. Clonal reproduction is frequent at treeline
due to harsh conditions, but might lead to competition among individuals due to the close
proximity among each other, which in turn might obscure their climatic signal. Second, I tested
the effect of warmer and drier climatic conditions on the summer temperature signal of Scots
pine in Eurasia (chapter II) and on the growing season moisture signal of white spruce in North
America (chapter III), respectively. Temperature-induced drought stress is expected to be the
most important driver of unstable climate-growth relationships in the boreal forest. I included
several sites across latitudinal (50-150 km) and longitudinal (1,000-2,200 km) gradients to
cover large parts of the species’ distribution ranges. Since Scots pine covers a wide range of
ecological habitats, I additionally tested the effect of dry and wet micro-site conditions on the
summer temperature signal of Scots pine in chapter II. Finally, in chapter IV, a systematic
literature review was carried out in order to investigate the distribution of unstable climategrowth
relationships in global tree-ring studies, and the usage of such series in climate
reconstructions. Furthermore, the scientific impact of these potentially inaccurate climate
reconstructions was assessed.
In this PhD project, warmer and drier climatic conditions led to temporally unstable climate
signals in both Scots pine (chapter II) and white spruce (chapter III), as expected. Unstable
climate-growth relationships were found for all tested tree-ring proxies and at all sites in North
America, and at most sites in Eurasia. Micro-site effects (chapter II) and clonal growth
(chapter I) had no significant effect on the climate sensitivity and high-frequency variability
of the tested species, but affected absolute growth. The review (chapter IV) revealed that the
phenomenon of unstable climate-growth relationships is globally widespread, and occurs
independent of tree species, geographic location, and tree-ring and climate proxies. While
reconstructions inferred from these unstable relationships are frequent and respective papers
have a high impact, the tree-ring community seems to increasingly recognize the challenge of
unstable climate-growth relationships.
With these findings, this PhD project helped to shed more light on the frequency, underlying
drivers, and the impact of unstable climate-growth relationships in boreal forest trees, as well
as underlying reaction processes in trees. Above all, this PhD project suggests that the loss of
climate sensitivity is caused by a change of growth limiting factors: temperature limitation
seems to be suspended in warmer and drier years for Scots pine in Eurasia, and moisture
limitation first arises under warm/dry conditions for white spruce in North America. Due to
plastic growth responses in trees, the general assumption in dendroclimatology – that climategrowth
relationships are stable through time – seems to be incompatible with the principle of
limiting factors (one factors is always most growth limiting).
To improve the validity of future climate reconstructions, statistical approaches considering
synchronously or changing climatic limiting factors need to be promoted, along with attempts
to select the best responding trees from a dataset. Furthermore, a better understanding of nonclimatic
factors potentially affecting tree growth (e.g., age, disturbance, soil parameters) is
needed. A growth reduction of mature and dominant white spruce trees sampled in this PhD
project seems likely under future warming conditions, with series of wood cells being valuable
early indicators of climate change effects in white spruce. However, inferences cannot be
extended to the entire stand due to the applied sample design. Projected climate warming will
probably lead to a further reduction of the summer temperature signal in trees of the northern
boreal forest, while wider consequences for forest growth and productivity are unclear.
Summary
Sphagnum farming can substitute peat with renewable biomass and thus help mitigate climate change. Large volumes of the required founder material can only be supplied sustainably by axenic cultivation in bioreactors.
We established axenic in vitro cultures from sporophytes of 19 Sphagnum species collected in Austria, Germany, Latvia, the Netherlands, Russia, and Sweden: S. angustifolium, S. balticum, S. capillifolium, S. centrale, S. compactum, S. cuspidatum, S. fallax, S. fimbriatum, S. fuscum, S. lindbergii, S. medium/divinum, S. palustre, S. papillosum, S. rubellum, S. russowii, S. squarrosum, S. subnitens, S. subfulvum and S. warnstorfii. These species cover five of the six European Sphagnum subgenera; namely, Acutifolia, Cuspidata, Rigida, Sphagnum and Squarrosa.
Their growth was measured in suspension cultures, whereas their ploidy was determined by flow cytometry and compared with the genome size of Physcomitrella patens. We identified haploid and diploid Sphagnum species, found that their cells are predominantly arrested in the G1 phase of the cell cycle, and did not find a correlation between plant productivity and ploidy. DNA barcoding was achieved by sequencing introns of the BRK1 genes.
With this collection, high‐quality founder material for diverse large‐scale applications, but also for basic Sphagnum research, is available from the International Moss Stock Center.
Abstract
The role of future forests in global biogeochemical cycles will depend on how different tree species respond to climate. Interpreting the response of forest growth to climate change requires an understanding of the temporal and spatial patterns of seasonal climatic influences on the growth of common tree species. We constructed a new network of 310 tree‐ring width chronologies from three common tree species (Quercus robur, Pinus sylvestris and Fagus sylvatica) collected for different ecological, management and climate purposes in the south Baltic Sea region at the border of three bioclimatic zones (temperate continental, oceanic, southern boreal). The major climate factors (temperature, precipitation, drought) affecting tree growth at monthly and seasonal scales were identified. Our analysis documents that 20th century Scots pine and deciduous species growth is generally controlled by different climate parameters, and that summer moisture availability is increasingly important for the growth of deciduous species examined. We report changes in the influence of winter climate variables over the last decades, where a decreasing influence of late winter temperature on deciduous tree growth and an increasing influence of winter temperature on Scots pine growth was found. By comparing climate–growth responses for the 1943–1972 and 1973–2002 periods and characterizing site‐level growth response stability, a descriptive application of spatial segregation analysis distinguished sites with stable responses to dominant climate parameters (northeast of the study region), and sites that collectively showed unstable responses to winter climate (southeast of the study region). The findings presented here highlight the temporally unstable and nonuniform responses of tree growth to climate variability, and that there are geographical coherent regions where these changes are similar. Considering continued climate change in the future, our results provide important regional perspectives on recent broad‐scale climate–growth relationships for trees across the temperate to boreal forest transition around the south Baltic Sea.
Coastal sand dunes near the Baltic Sea are a dynamic environment marking the boundary between land and sea and oftentimes covered by Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) forests. Complex climate-environmental interactions characterize these ecosystems and largely determine the productivity and state of these coastal forests. In the face of future climate change, understanding interactions between coastal tree growth and climate variability is important to promote sustainable coastal forests. In this study, we assessed the effect of microsite conditions on tree growth and the temporal and spatial variability of the relationship between climate and Scots pine growth at nine coastal sand dune sites located around the south Baltic Sea. At each site, we studied the growth of Scots pine growing at microsites located at the ridge and bottom of a dune and built a network of 18 ring-width and 18 latewood blue intensity chronologies. Across this network, we found that microsite has a minor influence on ring-width variability, basal area increment, latewood blue intensity, and climate sensitivity. However, at the local scale, microsite effects turned out to be important for growth and climate sensitivity at some sites. Correlation analysis indicated that the strength and direction of climate-growth responses for the ring-width and blue intensity chronologies were similar for climate variables over the 1903–2016 period. A strong and positive relationship between ring-width and latewood blue intensity chronologies with winter-spring temperature was detected at local and regional scales. We identified a relatively strong, positive influence of winter-spring/summer moisture availability on both tree-ring proxies. When climate-growth responses between two intervals (1903–1959, 1960–2016) were compared, the strength of growth responses to temperature and moisture availability for both proxies varied. More specifically, for the ring-width network, we identified decreasing temperature-growth responses, which is in contrast to the latewood blue intensity network, where we documented decreasing and increasing temperature-growth relationships in the north and south respectively. We conclude that coastal Scots pine forests are primarily limited by winter-spring temperature and winter-spring/summer drought despite differing microsite conditions. We detected some spatial and temporal variability in climate-growth relationships that warrant further investigation.