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Perception of climate change-related forest dieback in mountain forests among the local population
(2023)
Mountain forests provide multiple benefits but are threatened by climate change-induced forest dieback. Although many studies summarize perceptions of forest ecosystem services, relatively few deal with mountain forests. The local population’s perception of forest dieback in mountain forests in relation to climate change has rarely been investigated so far. Their perspective is relevant as local people are often deeply attached to “their” forests, they actively use forest ecosystems and—as voters and taxpayers—they need to support the state’s adaptation and funding measures. Therefore, this study investigates the climate change and forest dieback perception of local inhabitants in two mountain areas of Southern Germany (the German Alps and the Bavarian Forest) with a quantitative survey based on representative online samples (n = 709). Relying conceptually on van der Linden’s (J Environ Psychol 41:112–124, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2014.11.012) climate change risk perception model, the results show that experiential processing, cognitive and socio-cultural factors are related to locals’ forest dieback and climate change perception, while socio-demographics show no or few connections. Nearly two-thirds (64.7%) of the respondents perceive moderate to strong forest dieback, while more than half (55.0%) of the respondents already observe consequences of climate change. The perceptions of climate change and forest dieback are positively correlated with medium to high strength. This shows that forest dieback could be interpreted as an indicator of climate change, which is difficult to observe due to its long-term nature. We identify three groups of respondents regarding preferred forest adaptation strategies to climate change. In general, respondents support nature-based forest adaptation strategies over intense measures.
Climate change has strongly affected mountain forests through an increasing intensity and frequency of disturbances and forest dieback in recent decades. However, given the strong relevance of forest dieback and potential impacts on forest stakeholders and local inhabitants, it is surprising that this research field is seldom investigated to date. Therefore, this study deals with the perception of climate change-related consequences as well as possible silvicultural adaptation strategies for the Bavarian Forest. Since it can be assumed that various forest ecosystem services will be increasingly in demand in the future, participation by all stakeholders is essential. Therefore, a sequential, mixed-method approach (qualitative and quantitative survey) allows developing concrete guidelines and strategies for adaptive management, in which the diverse social demands on forests can be adequately taken into account.