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Forests influence the climate of our Earth and provide habitat and food for many species and resources for human use. These valuable ecosystems are threatened by fast environmental changes caused by human-induced climte change. Negative growth responses and higher tree mortality rates were associated with increasing physiological stress induced by global warming. Especially boreal forests at high latitudes in the arctic region are threatened, a region predicted to undergo the highest increase in temperature during the next decades. Therefore, it is important to assess the adaptation potential in trees. For this purpose, I studied natural populations of white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) in Alaska. In this thesis, I present three scientific papers in which my co-authors and I studied the phenotypic plasticity and genetic basis of tree growth, wood anatomy and drought tolerance as well as the genetic structure of white spruce populations in contrasting environments. We established three sites representing two cold-limited treelines and one drought-limited treeline with a paired plot design including one plot located at the treeline and one plot located in a closed-canopy forest, respectively. Additionally, the study design included one forest plot as reference. Within the entire project, in total 3,000 trees were measured, genotyped and dendrochronological data was obtained. I used several approaches to estimate the neutral and adaptive genetic diversity and phenotypic plasticity of white spruce as a model organism to explore the adaptation potential of trees to climate change.
In the first chapter, I combined neutral genetic markers with dendrochronological and climatic data to investigate population structure and individual growth of white spruce. Several individual-based dendrochronological approaches were applied to test the influence of genetic similarity and microenvironment on growth performance. The white spruce populations of the different sites showed high gene flow and high genetic diversity within and low genetic differentiation among populations, rather explained by geographic distance. The individual growth performances showed a high plasticity rather influenced by microenvironment than genetic similarity.
In the second chapter, I investigated the populations of the drought and cold-limited treeline sites to decipher the underlying genetic structure of drought tolerance using different genotype-phenotype association analyses. Based on tree-ring series and climatic data, growth declines caused by drought stress were identified and the individual reaction to the drought stress event was determined. A subset of 458 trees was genotyped, using SNPs in candidate genes and associated with the individual drought response. Most of the associations were revealed by an approach which took into account small-effect size SNPs and their interactions. Populations of the contrasting treelines responded differently to drought stress events. Populations further showed divergent genetic structures associated with drought responsive traits, most of them in the drought-limited site, indicating divergent selection pressure.
In the third chapter, my co-authors and I studied xylem anatomical traits at one of the cold-limited treeline sites to investigate whether genetic or spatial grouping affected the anatomy and growth of white spruce. Annual growth and xylem anatomy were compared between spatial groups and between genetic groups and individuals. Overall, wood traits were rather influenced by spatial than genetic grouping. Genetic effects were only found in earlywood hydraulic diameter and latewood density. Environmental conditions indirectly influenced traits related to water transport.
In conclusion, white spruce showed a high genetic diversity within and a low genetic differentiation among populations influenced by high gene flow rates. Genetic differences among populations are rather caused by geographical distance and therefore genetic drift. Differing selection pressure at the treeline ecotones presumably lead to divergent genetic structures underlying drought-tolerant phenotypes among the populations. Thus, adaptation to drought most likely acts on a local scale and involves small frequency shifts in several interacting genes. The identified genes with adaptive growth traits can be used to further exlore local adaptation in white spruce. Tree growth and wood anatomical traits are rather influenced by the environment than genetics and showed a high phentoypic plasticity. The high genetic diverstiy and phenotypic plasticity of white spruce may help the species to cope with rapid environmental changes. Still, additional work is needed to further explore adaptation processes to estimate how tree species reacted to rapid climate change. The presented thesis shed some light on the adaptation potential of trees by the example of white spruce using several approaches.
Late to bed, late to rise—Warmer autumn temperatures delay spring phenology by delaying dormancy
(2021)
Abstract
Spring phenology of temperate forest trees has advanced substantially over the last decades due to climate warming, but this advancement is slowing down despite continuous temperature rise. The decline in spring advancement is often attributed to winter warming, which could reduce chilling and thus delay dormancy release. However, mechanistic evidence of a phenological response to warmer winter temperatures is missing. We aimed to understand the contrasting effects of warming on plants leaf phenology and to disentangle temperature effects during different seasons. With a series of monthly experimental warming by ca. 2.4°C from late summer until spring, we quantified phenological responses of forest tree to warming for each month separately, using seedlings of four common European tree species. To reveal the underlying mechanism, we tracked the development of dormancy depth under ambient conditions as well as directly after each experimental warming. In addition, we quantified the temperature response of leaf senescence. As expected, warmer spring temperatures led to earlier leaf‐out. The advancing effect of warming started already in January and increased towards the time of flushing, reaching 2.5 days/°C. Most interestingly, however, warming in October had the opposite effect and delayed spring phenology by 2.4 days/°C on average; despite six months between the warming and the flushing. The switch between the delaying and advancing effect occurred already in December. We conclude that not warmer winters but rather the shortening of winter, i.e., warming in autumn, is a major reason for the decline in spring phenology.
Abstract
Myxomycetes are terrestrial protists with many presumably cosmopolitan species dispersing via airborne spores. A truly cosmopolitan species would suffer from outbreeding depression hampering local adaptation, while locally adapted species with limited distribution would be at a higher risk of extinction in changing environments. Here, we investigate intraspecific genetic diversity and phylogeography of Physarum albescens over the entire Northern Hemisphere. We sequenced 324 field collections of fruit bodies for 1–3 genetic markers (SSU, EF1A, COI) and analysed 98 specimens with genotyping by sequencing. The structure of the three‐gene phylogeny, SNP‐based phylogeny, phylogenetic networks, and the observed recombination pattern of three independently inherited gene markers can be best explained by the presence of at least 18 reproductively isolated groups, which can be seen as cryptic species. In all intensively sampled regions and in many localities, members of several phylogroups coexisted. Some phylogroups were found to be abundant in only one region and completely absent in other well‐studied regions, and thus may represent regional endemics. Our results demonstrate that the widely distributed myxomycete species Ph. albescens represents a complex of at least 18 cryptic species, and some of these seem to have a limited geographical distribution. In addition, the presence of groups of presumably clonal specimens suggests that sexual and asexual reproduction coexist in natural populations of myxomycetes.
Abstract
Drainage has turned 650,000 km2 of peatlands worldwide into greenhouse gas sources. To counteract climate change, large‐scale rewetting is necessary while agricultural use of rewetted areas, termed paludiculture, is still possible. However, more information is required on the performance of suitable species, such as cattail, in the range of environmental conditions after rewetting. We investigated productivity and biomass quality (morphological traits and tissue chemical composition) of Typha angustifolia and Typha latifolia along gradients of water table depth (−45 to +40 cm) and nutrient addition (3.6–400 kg N ha−1 a−1) in a six‐month mesocosm experiment with an emphasis on their high‐value utilization, e.g., as building material, paper, or biodegradable packaging. Over a wide range of investigated conditions, T. latifolia was more productive than T. angustifolia. Productivity was remarkably tolerant of low nutrient addition, suggesting that long‐term productive paludiculture is possible. Low water tables were beneficial for T. latifolia productivity and high water tables for T. angustifolia biomass quality. Rewetting will likely create a mosaic of different water table depths. Our findings that the yield of T. angustifolia and tissue chemical composition of T. latifolia were largely unaffected by water table depth are therefore promising. Depending on intended utilization, optimal cultivation conditions and preferable species differ. Considering yield or diameter, e.g., for building materials, T. latifolia is generally preferable over T. angustifolia. A low N, P, K content, high Si content and high C/N‐ratio can be beneficial for processing into disposable tableware, charcoal, or building material. For these utilizations, T. angustifolia is preferable at high water tables, and both species should be cultivated at a low nutrient supply. When cellulose and lignin contents are relevant, e.g., for paper and biodegradable packaging, T. angustifolia is preferable at high water tables and both species should be cultivated at nutrient additions of about 20 kg N ha−1 a−1.
Abstract
Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of drought events in many boreal forests. Trees are sessile organisms with a long generation time, which makes them vulnerable to fast climate change and hinders fast adaptations. Therefore, it is important to know how forests cope with drought stress and to explore the genetic basis of these reactions. We investigated three natural populations of white spruce (Picea glauca) in Alaska, located at one drought‐limited and two cold‐limited treelines with a paired plot design of one forest and one treeline plot. We obtained individual increment cores from 458 trees and climate data to assess dendrophenotypes, in particular the growth reaction to drought stress. To explore the genetic basis of these dendrophenotypes, we genotyped the individual trees at 3000 single nucleotide polymorphisms in candidate genes and performed genotype–phenotype association analysis using linear mixed models and Bayesian sparse linear mixed models. Growth reaction to drought stress differed in contrasting treeline populations. Therefore, the populations are likely to be unevenly affected by climate change. We identified 40 genes associated with dendrophenotypic traits that differed among the treeline populations. Most genes were identified in the drought‐limited site, indicating comparatively strong selection pressure of drought‐tolerant phenotypes. Contrasting patterns of drought‐associated genes among sampled sites and in comparison to Canadian populations in a previous study suggest that drought adaptation acts on a local scale. Our results highlight genes that are associated with wood traits which in turn are critical for the establishment and persistence of future forests under climate change.
Abstract
River estuaries are characterized by mixing processes between freshwater discharge and marine water masses. Since the first are depleted in heavier stable isotopes compared with the marine realm, estuaries often show a linear correlation between salinity and water stable isotopes (δ18O and δ2H values). In this study, we evaluated spatial and seasonal isotope dynamics along three estuarine lagoon transects, located at the northern German Baltic Sea coast. The data show strong seasonality of isotope values, even at locations located furthest from the river mouths. They further reveal a positive and linear salinity‐isotope correlation in spring, but ‐in two of the three studied transects‐ hyperbolic and partially reverse correlations in summers. We conclude that additional hydrological processes partially overprint the two‐phase mixing correlation during summers: aside from the isotope seasonality of the riverine inflows, the shallow inner lagoons in the studied estuaries are influenced by evaporation processes. In contrast the estuarine outflow regions are under impact of significant salinity and isotope fluctuations of the Baltic Sea. Deciphering those processes is crucial for the understanding of water isotope and salinity dynamics. This is also of relevance in context of ecological studies, for example, when interpreting oxygen and hydrogen isotope data in aquatic organisms that depend on ambient estuarine waters.
Abstract
Monitoring the general public's support toward wildlife species is a strategy to identify whether a specific human–wildlife conflict (HWC) is escalating or de‐escalating over time. The support can change due to multiple factors, such as mass media news of HWC or providing information about ecological traits of a species. Methods such as the rating scale (RS) and the allocation of a fixed amount of money (money allocation [MA]) have been used in the human–wildlife dimension as a proxy to measure support toward wildlife species. We compared these two methods' capacity to assess the general public's support changes toward wildlife species in an experimental design setting. Face‐to‐face interviews were applied among urban dwellers (n: 359) in Valdivia, Chile. In each interview, the support toward 12 wildlife species was elicited using an RS and MA methods, on two occasions, before and after disclosing ecological traits of the species. The results indicate that the MA grouped the wildlife species based on shared ecological traits, information disclosed to the participants, while the RS did not obtain the same results. Specifically, the MA identified an increase and decrease of support toward the wildlife species, and the RS only an increment of support. These results could be partly explained due to the conceptual foundation of each method. The MA was designed to elicit preferences in a constrained choice, while the RS measures attitudes. As a constrained choice, the MA does allow maximum support to be given to one species only if all other species are left unsupported, while in the RS, it is possible to provide maximum support for all species. The mentioned characteristics of the MA make it more suitable than the RS when the objective is to identify support changes.
Lake‐level reconstructions are a key tool in hydro‐climate reconstructions, based on the assumption that lake‐level changes primarily reflect climatic changes. Although it is known that land cover changes can affect evapotranspiration and groundwater formation, this factor commonly receives little attention in the interpretation of past lake‐level changes. To address this issue in more detail, we explore the effects of land cover change on Holocene lake‐level fluctuations in Lake Tiefer See in the lowlands of northeastern Germany. We reconstruct lake‐level changes based on the analysis of 28 sediment records from different water depths and from the shore. We compare the results with land cover changes inferred from pollen data. We also apply hydrological modelling to quantify effects of land cover change on evapotranspiration and the lake level. Our reconstruction shows an overall lake‐level amplitude of about 10 m during the Holocene, with the highest fluctuations during the Early and Late Holocene. Only smaller fluctuations during the Middle Holocene can unambiguously be attributed to climatic fluctuations because the land cover was stable during that period. Fluctuations during the Early and Late Holocene are at least partly related to changes in natural and anthropogenic land cover. For several intervals the reconstructed lake‐level changes agree well with variations in modelled groundwater recharge inferred from land cover changes. In general, the observed amplitudes of lake‐level fluctuations are larger than expected from climatic changes alone and thus underline that land cover changes in lake catchments must be considered in climatic interpretations of past lake‐level fluctuations.
Abstract
Root phenology influences the timing of plant resource acquisition and carbon fluxes into the soil. This is particularly important in fen peatlands, in which peat is primarily formed by roots and rhizomes of vascular plants. However, most fens in Central Europe are drained for agriculture, leading to large carbon losses, and further threatened by increasing frequency and intensity of droughts. Rewetting fens aims to restore the original carbon sink, but how root phenology is affected by drainage and rewetting is largely unknown.
We monitored root phenology with minirhizotrons in drained and rewetted fens (alder forest, percolation fen and coastal fen) as well as its soil temperature and water table depth during the 2018 drought. For each fen type, we studied a drained site and a site that was rewetted ~25 years ago, while all the sites studied had been drained for almost a century.
Overall, the growing season was longer with rewetting, allowing roots to grow over a longer period in the year and have a higher root production than under drainage. With increasing depth, the growing season shifted to later in time but remained a similar length, and the relative importance of soil temperature for root length changes increased with soil depth.
Synthesis and applications. Rewetting extended the growing season of roots, highlighting the importance of phenology in explaining root productivity in peatlands. A longer growing season allows a longer period of carbon sequestration in form of root biomass and promotes the peatlands' carbon sink function, especially through longer growth in deep soil layers. Thus, management practices that focus on rewetting peatland ecosystems are necessary to maintain their function as carbon sinks, particularly under drought conditions, and are a top priority to reduce carbon emissions and address climate change.
AbstractGlobal challenges related to land, biodiversity, food and climate interact in diverse ways depending on local conditions and the broader context in which they are embedded. This diversity challenges learning and integrated decision-making to sustainably transform the nexus, that is to say the interactions between these land-based challenges. Providing aggregated insights, archetype analysis has revealed recurrent patterns within the multitude of interactions, i.e. interaction archetypes that are essential to enhance the understanding of nexus relations. This paper synthesises the state of knowledge on interaction or nexus archetypes related to land, biodiversity, food and climate based on a systematic literature review. It focusses on the coverage of thematic aspects, regional distribution, social dimensions and methodologies. The results show that consideration of comprehensive land–biodiversity–food–climate interactions is rare. Furthermore, there are pronounced regional knowledge gaps, social dimensions are inadequately captured, and methodological shortcomings are evident. To enhance the investigation of interaction archetypes, we have framed a future research agenda providing directions to fully capture interactions across space and time, better use the potential of scenario archetypes and up-scale transformative actions. These advances will constructively contribute insights that help to achieve the ambitious objective to sustainably transform the nexus between land, biodiversity, food and climate.
AbstractArchetype analysis is a promising approach in sustainability science to identify patterns and explain mechanisms shaping the sustainability of social-ecological systems. Although considerable efforts have been devoted to developing quality standards and methodological advances for archetype analysis, archetype validation remains a major challenge. Drawing on the insights from two international workshops on archetype analysis and on broader literature on validity, we propose a framework that identifies and describes six dimensions of validity: conceptual; construct; internal; external; empirical; and application validity. We first discuss the six dimensions in relation to different methodological approaches and purposes of archetype analysis. We then present an operational use of the framework for researchers to assess the validity of archetype analysis and to support sound archetype identification and policy-relevant applications. Finally, we apply our assessment to 18 published archetype analyses, which we use to describe the challenges and insights in validating the different dimensions and suggest ways to holistically improve the validity of identified archetypes. With this, we contribute to more rigorous archetype analyses, helping to develop the potential of the approach for guiding sustainability solutions.
Coastal sand dunes near the Baltic Sea are a dynamic environment marking the boundary between land and sea and oftentimes covered by Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) forests. Complex climate-environmental interactions characterize these ecosystems and largely determine the productivity and state of these coastal forests. In the face of future climate change, understanding interactions between coastal tree growth and climate variability is important to promote sustainable coastal forests. In this study, we assessed the effect of microsite conditions on tree growth and the temporal and spatial variability of the relationship between climate and Scots pine growth at nine coastal sand dune sites located around the south Baltic Sea. At each site, we studied the growth of Scots pine growing at microsites located at the ridge and bottom of a dune and built a network of 18 ring-width and 18 latewood blue intensity chronologies. Across this network, we found that microsite has a minor influence on ring-width variability, basal area increment, latewood blue intensity, and climate sensitivity. However, at the local scale, microsite effects turned out to be important for growth and climate sensitivity at some sites. Correlation analysis indicated that the strength and direction of climate-growth responses for the ring-width and blue intensity chronologies were similar for climate variables over the 1903–2016 period. A strong and positive relationship between ring-width and latewood blue intensity chronologies with winter-spring temperature was detected at local and regional scales. We identified a relatively strong, positive influence of winter-spring/summer moisture availability on both tree-ring proxies. When climate-growth responses between two intervals (1903–1959, 1960–2016) were compared, the strength of growth responses to temperature and moisture availability for both proxies varied. More specifically, for the ring-width network, we identified decreasing temperature-growth responses, which is in contrast to the latewood blue intensity network, where we documented decreasing and increasing temperature-growth relationships in the north and south respectively. We conclude that coastal Scots pine forests are primarily limited by winter-spring temperature and winter-spring/summer drought despite differing microsite conditions. We detected some spatial and temporal variability in climate-growth relationships that warrant further investigation.
Determining the effect of a changing climate on tree growth will ultimately depend on our understanding of wood formation processes and how they can be affected by environmental conditions. In this context, monitoring intra-annual radial growth with high temporal resolution through point dendrometers has often been used. Another widespread approach is the microcoring method to follow xylem and phloem formation at the cellular level. Although both register the same biological process (secondary growth), given the limitations of each method, each delivers specific insights that can be combined to obtain a better picture of the process as a whole. To explore the potential of visualizing combined dendrometer and histological monitoring data and scrutinize intra-annual growth data on both dimensions (dendrometer → continuous; microcoring → discrete), we developed DevX (Dendrometer vs. Xylogenesis), a visualization application using the “Shiny” package in the R programming language. The interactive visualization allows the display of dendrometer curves and the overlay of commonly used growth model fits (Gompertz and Weibull) as well as the calculation of wood phenology estimates based on these fits (growth onset, growth cessation, and duration). Furthermore, the growth curves have interactive points to show the corresponding histological section, where the amount and development stage of the tissues at that particular time point can be observed. This allows to see the agreement of dendrometer derived phenology and the development status at the cellular level, and by this help disentangle shrinkage and swelling due to water uptake from actual radial growth. We present a case study with monitoring data for Acer pseudoplatanus L., Fagus sylvatica L., and Quercus robur L. trees growing in a mixed stand in northeastern Germany. The presented application is an example of the innovative and easy to access use of programming languages as basis for data visualization, and can be further used as a learning tool in the topic of wood formation and its ecology. Combining continuous dendrometer data with the discrete information from histological-sections provides a tool to identify active periods of wood formation from dendrometer series (calibrate) and explore monitoring datasets.
The onset of the growing season in temperate forests is relevant for forest ecology and biogeochemistry and is known to occur earlier with climate change. Variation in tree phenology among individual trees of the same stand and species, however, is not well understood. Yet, natural selection acts on this inter-individual variation, which consequently affects the adaptive potential to ongoing environmental changes. Budburst dates of 146 mature individuals of Fagus sylvatica, the dominant natural forest tree of central Europe, were recorded over 12 years in one forest stand of 1 ha in the Müritz National Park, Germany. The tree-specific location, topographical differences, as well as social status, were measured to explain the inter-individual variation in budburst. Furthermore, inter-individual differences in bud dormancy were quantified. Additional phenology and weather data across Germany from 405 sites over a 25-year period was used to put the insights from the single stand into perspective. Consistent phenological ranking over the years with respect to early and late flushing trees was observed within the single forest stand, with 23 trees consistently flushing 3–6 days earlier and 22 trees consistently flushing 3–10 days later than the median. Trees flushing consistently early varied most in their spring budburst dates and were less dormant than late-flushing trees already in mid-winter. The higher variation in earlier flushing trees was best explained by a slower warming rate during their budburst period in the observed stand as well as across Germany. Likewise, years with a lower warming rate during the budburst period were more variable in budburst dates. The rate of warming during spring time is crucial to accurately project future within-species variation and the resulting adaptive potential in spring phenology of dominant forest tree species.
Sal (Shorea robusta) forests, a dominant forest type in Nepal, experience different disturbance intensities depending on management regimes. This study compares the impact of disturbance on Nepalese Sal forests, which are managed on three major management regimes: protected area, state-managed forest, and buffer zone community forest. Using a systematic sampling approach, we sampled 20 plots, each covering 500 square meters, and nested plots within each main plot to measure pole and regeneration for each management regime. We recorded forest characteristics including tree species, counts, diameter, height, crown cover, and disturbance indicators. We compared forest attributes such as diversity indices, species richness, and stand structure by management regime using analysis of variance and regression analysis. The forest management regimes were classified into three disturbance levels based on disturbance factor bundles, and the buffer zone community forest was found to have the highest disturbance while the protected forest had the lowest disturbance. Species richness, diversity, evenness, abundance, density and basal area were higher, but regeneration was lower in protected area and state-managed forest compared to the buffer zone community forests. This suggests positive impacts of moderate disturbance on regeneration. The management plan should prioritize the minimization of excessive disturbance to balance forest conservation and provide forest resources to local users.
A massive shift in agricultural practices over the past decades, to support exceptionally high yields and productivities involving intensive agriculture, have led to unsustainable agriculture practices across the globe. Sustenance of such high yields and productivities demand high use of organic and industrial fertilizers. This acts as a negative pressure on the environment. Excessive use of fertilizers leads to nutrient surplus in the fields, which, as a part of catchment runoff, flows into the water bodies as diffuse pollution. These nutrients through rivers are eventually passed into seas. High nutrients ending up into water bodies cause eutrophication. The situation is worsened when such unsustainable agricultural activities are carried out on drained peatlands. As a result, the nutrients that were not part of the nutrient cycle in the landscape for years begin to leach out due to mineralization of peatlands, thereby putting an additional load of nutrients on the environment, that was already under the negative impact of nutrient surplus. In view of the above, a small lowland catchment of the Ryck river in northeast Germany was assessed for its nitrogen losses from agricultural lands through empirical modelling. Initial empirical modelling resulted in an average annual total nitrogen loss of 14.7 kg ha−1 year−1. After a comparative analysis of these results with procured data, the empirical equation was modified to suit the catchment, yielding more accurate results. The study showed that 75.6% of peatlands in the catchment are under agricultural use. Subsequently, a proposal was made for potential wetland buffer zones in the Ryck catchment. Altogether, 13 peatland sites across 8 sub-catchments were recommended for mitigation of high nutrient runoff. In the end, nutrient efficiency of proposed WBZs in one of the sub-catchments of Ryck has been discussed. The results show that (i) the modified empirical equation can act as a key tool in application-based future strategies for nitrogen reduction in the Ryck catchment, (ii) restoration of peatlands and introduction of WBZs can help in mitigating the nutrient runoff for improved water quality of Ryck, and subsequently (ii) contribute to efficient reduction of riverine loads of nutrients into the Baltic Sea.
Samples of two duckweed species, Spirodela polyrhiza and Lemna minor, were collected around small ponds and investigated concerning the question of whether natural populations of duckweeds constitute a single clone, or whether clonal diversity exists. Amplified fragment length polymorphism was used as a molecular method to distinguish clones of the same species. Possible intraspecific diversity was evaluated by average-linkage clustering. The main criterion to distinguish one clone from another was the 95% significance level of the Jaccard dissimilarity index for replicated samples. Within natural populations of L. minor, significant intraspecific genetic differences were detected. In each of the three small ponds harbouring populations of L. minor, based on twelve samples, between four and nine distinct clones were detected. Natural populations of L. minor consist of a mixture of several clones representing intraspecific biodiversity in an aquatic ecosystem. Moreover, identical distinct clones were discovered in more than one pond, located at a distance of 1 km and 2.4 km from each other. Evidently, fronds of L. minor were transported between these different ponds. The genetic differences for S. polyrhiza, however, were below the error-threshold of the method within a pond to detect distinct clones, but were pronounced between samples of two different ponds.
Pollen productivity estimates (PPEs) are a key parameter for quantitative land-cover reconstructions from pollen data. PPEs are commonly estimated using modern pollen-vegetation data sets and the extended R-value (ERV) model. Prominent discrepancies in the existing studies question the reliability of the approach. We here propose an implementation of the ERV model in the R environment for statistical computing, which allows for simplified application and testing. Using simulated pollen-vegetation data sets, we explore sensitivity of ERV application to (1) number of sites, (2) vegetation structure, (3) basin size, (4) noise in the data, and (5) dispersal model selection. The simulations show that noise in the (pollen) data and dispersal model selection are critical factors in ERV application. Pollen count errors imply prominent PPE errors mainly for taxa with low counts, usually low pollen producers. Applied with an unsuited dispersal model, ERV tends to produce wrong PPEs for additional taxa. In a comparison of the still widely applied Prentice model and a Lagrangian stochastic model (LSM), errors are highest for taxa with high and low fall speed of pollen. The errors reflect the too high influence of fall speed in the Prentice model. ERV studies often use local scale pollen data from for example, moss polsters. Describing pollen dispersal on his local scale is particularly complex due to a range of disturbing factors, including differential release height. Considering the importance of the dispersal model in the approach, and the very large uncertainties in dispersal on short distance, we advise to carry out ERV studies with pollen data from open areas or basins that lack local pollen deposition of the taxa of interest.
Changing climate can strongly affect tree growth and forest productivity. The dendrochronological approach to assessing the impact of climate change on tree growth is possible through climate–growth correlation analysis. This study uses an individual tree-based approach to model Pinus wallichiana (P. wallichiana) radial growth response to climate across the physiographic gradients in the lower distributional range of Nepal. This study sampled six sites across the Makwanpur district of central Nepal that varied in elevation and aspect, obtaining 180 tree-ring series. Climate data series were obtained from Climate Research Unit (CRU 4.0). The pair correlation approach was used to assess P. wallichiana growth response to climate and site-level physiographic variables such as site-level environmental stress. The study also determined long-term growth trends across the elevation and aspect gradients. Trees at sites with higher elevation and northeast aspect (NEA) were more responsive to winter and spring precipitation, whereas trees with lower elevation and northwest aspect (NWA) were more responsive to winter and spring precipitation. Basal area increment (BAI) analysis showed the variation of growth at site-level environmental stress, suggesting that the sensitivity of forest ecosystems to changing climate will vary across the lower growth limit of P. wallichiana due to differences in local physiographic conditions.
Agriculture in the populated islands of the Galapagos Archipelago, a protected area due to its unique biodiversity, has been detrimental to its conservation but highly required to meet food necessities. A potential solution to make agricultural farming more sustainable is adopting water-saving technologies (WSTs). Therefore, this study aimed to test the effectiveness of using WSTs such as Groasis Waterboxx® in three of the most valuable crops in the islands through participatory research with the involvement of a group of farmers from the Floreana and Santa Cruz islands and explore a possible transition to more sustainable agricultural practices. Capsicum annuum, Cucumis sativus and Solanum lycopersicum were cultivated using Groasis Waterboxx® and compared to conventional irrigation practices (drip-irrigated controls) to assess the variability of productivity, the number of fruits and individual fruit weight (IFW). In addition, differences in plant traits were analyzed by crop, and island. Results suggested that WSTs such as Groasis Waterboxx® may provide on-farm benefits regarding the yields of the studied traits. From this study, it is difficult to determine whether participation in such a research study will permanently change irrigation practices. However, the participant’s responses to the study suggest an increase in their understanding of the use and benefits of WST.