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How well populations can cope with global warming will often depend on the evolutionary potential and plasticity of their temperature-sensitive, fitness-relevant traits. In Bechstein's bats (Myotis bechsteinii), body size has increased over the last decades in response to warmer summers. If this trend continues it may threaten populations as larger females exhibit higher mortality. To assess the evolutionary potential of body size, we applied a Bayesian ‘animal model’ to estimate additive genetic variance, heritability and evolvability of body size, based on a 25-year pedigree of 332 wild females. Both heritability and additive genetic variance were reduced in hot summers compared to average and cold summers, while evolvability of body size was generally low. This suggests that the observed increase in body size was mostly driven by phenotypic plasticity. Thus, if warm summers continue to become more frequent, body size likely increases further and the resulting fitness loss could threaten populations.
How organisms that are part of the same trophic network respond to environmental variability over small spatial scales has been studied in a multitude of systems. Prevailing theory suggests a large role for plasticity in key traits among interacting species that allows matching of life cycles or life‐history traits across environmental gradients, for instance insects tracking host‐plant phenology across variable environments (Posledovich et al. 2018). A key aspect that remains understudied is the extent of intrapopulation variability in plasticity and whether stressful conditions canalize plasticity to an optimal level, or alternatively if variation in plasticity indeed could increase fitness in itself via alternative strategies. In a From the Cover article in this issue of Molecular Ecology, Kahilainen et al. (2022) investigate this issue in a classical insect study system, the metapopulation of the Glanville fritillary butterfly (Melitea cinxia) in the Åland archipelago of Finland. The authors first establish how a key host plant responds to water limitation, then quantify among‐family variation in larval growth and development across control and water‐limited host plants. Finally, they use RNA sequencing to gain mechanistic insights into some of these among‐family differences in larval performance in response to host‐plant variation, finding results suggesting the existence of heritable, intrapopulation variability in ecologically relevant plasticity. This final step represents a critically important and often overlooked component of efforts to predict sensitivity of biological systems to changing environmental conditions, since it provides a key metric of adaptive resilience present in the system.
Introduction: At the cellular level, acute temperature changes alter ionic conductances, ion channel kinetics, and the activity of entire neuronal circuits. This can result in severe consequences for neural function, animal behavior and survival. In poikilothermic animals, and particularly in aquatic species whose core temperature equals the surrounding water temperature, neurons experience rather rapid and wide-ranging temperature fluctuations. Recent work on pattern generating neural circuits in the crustacean stomatogastric nervous system have demonstrated that neuronal circuits can exhibit an intrinsic robustness to temperature fluctuations. However, considering the increased warming of the oceans and recurring heatwaves due to climate change, the question arises whether this intrinsic robustness can acclimate to changing environmental conditions, and whether it differs between species and ocean habitats.
Methods: We address these questions using the pyloric pattern generating circuits in the stomatogastric nervous system of two crab species, Hemigrapsus sanguineus and Carcinus maenas that have seen a worldwide expansion in recent decades.
Results and discussion: Consistent with their history as invasive species, we find that pyloric activity showed a broad temperature robustness (>30°C). Moreover, the temperature-robust range was dependent on habitat temperature in both species. Warm-acclimating animals shifted the critical temperature at which circuit activity breaks down to higher temperatures. This came at the cost of robustness against cold stimuli in H. sanguineus, but not in C. maenas. Comparing the temperature responses of C. maenas from a cold latitude (the North Sea) to those from a warm latitude (Spain) demonstrated that similar shifts in robustness occurred in natural environments. Our results thus demonstrate that neuronal temperature robustness correlates with, and responds to, environmental temperature conditions, potentially preparing animals for changing ecological conditions and shifting habitats.
Relative importance of plastic and genetic responses to weather conditions in long-lived bats
(2022)
In the light of the accelerating pace of environmental change, it is imperative to understand how populations and species can adapt to altered environmental conditions. This is a crucial step in predicting current and future population persistence and limits thereof. Genetic adaption and phenotypic plasticity are two main mechanisms that can mediate the process of adaptation and are of particular importance for non-dispersing species. While phenotypic plasticity may enable individuals to cope with short term environmental changes, genetic adaptation will often be required for populations to survive in situ over longer time spans. However, a rapid genetic response is expected particularly in species with fast life histories or large population sizes, leaving species with slow life histories potentially at higher extinction risk. The Bechstein’s bat (Myotis bechsteinii) is a mammal of 10 g weight that - despite its small size - is characterized by a slow life history, with low reproductive output and long lifespan, and is already considered to be of high conservation concern. Past work demonstrated body size to be a highly fitness-relevant trait in Bechstein’s bats. Body size is further known to be a pivotal trait shaping the pace of life histories in numerous species. Simultaneously, many studies reported noteworthy changes in body size as a response to shifting environments across different taxa. This suggested a potential for high plasticity in this trait in Bechstein’s bats as well; however, changes in body size could have vital impacts on demographic rates.
Therefore, this dissertation investigated the following questions: firstly, what shapes the fundamental development of body size in M. bechsteinii, and, specifically, is there an impact of weather conditions on body size? If so, in what form and magnitude? Secondly, how does body size subsequently influence the pace of life in females? What is the cost of a faster or slower pace of life, and how does fitness compare across individuals with slow and fast life histories? And finally, to what extent can changes in body size be attributed to either phenotypic plasticity or genetic adaptation? What is the evolutionary potential of body size in the populations? And, consequently, what implications can we draw regarding population persistence of these colonies?
To answer these questions, we analyzed a long-term dataset of over two decades collected from four wild Bechstein’s bat colonies. We used individual-based data on survival, reproduction and body size, built multi-generational pedigrees, and combined everything with meteorological data. In Manuscript 1 we found that, in contrast to the declining body size observed in many species, body size in Bechstein’s bats increased significantly over the last decades. We demonstrated that ambient temperature was linked to the development of body size and identified a sensitive time period in the prenatal growth phase, in which body size was most susceptible to the impact of temperature. We established that warmer summers resulted in larger bats, but that these large bats had higher mortality risks throughout their lives. Manuscript 2 then revealed the influence of body size on the pace of life in Bechstein’s bats and demonstrated high plasticity in intraspecific life history strategies. Large females were characterized by a faster pace of life and shorter lifespans, but surprisingly, lifetime reproductive success remained remarkably stable across individuals with different body sizes. The acceleration of their pace of life means that larger females compensated for their reduced longevity by an earlier reproduction and higher fecundity to reach similar overall fitness. Ultimately, differences in body size resulted in changes in population growth rate via the impact of size on generation times. Results of Manuscript 3 were then able to clarify the extent to which changes in body size were founded on either phenotypic plasticity or genetic adaptation. We demonstrated a particularly low heritability in hot summers, indicating that variance in body size was mostly driven by phenotypic plasticity, with few genetic constraints. During cold summers, behavioural adaptations by reproducing bats seem to be able to mitigate negative effects of cold temperatures. These behaviours, such as social aggregation or preference for warm roosts, are, however, essentially irrelevant in hot environments. In addition, a low evolvability of forearm length points to a low capacity to respond to selection pressures associated with the trait.
We can conclude that body size in M. bechsteinii has increased over the last two decades as a response to global warming and is only slightly constrained by its genetic underpinnings. We can further demonstrate a direct link between body size and the pace of life histories in the Bechstein’s bat populations and how changes in body size impact demographic rates via this linkage. In the context of climate change and hotter summers, our findings consequently suggest that body size will likely increase further if warm summers continue to become more frequent. Whether this plastic response of body size proves to be adaptive in the long term, however, remains to be seen. While, up to this point, switching to a faster life history has been successful in compensating fitness losses, this strategy requires sufficient habitat quality and is likely risky in times when extreme weather events are becoming more frequent, as predicted by most climate change scenarios.
Abstract
Climate change may force organisms to adapt genetically or plastically to new environmental conditions. Invasive species show remarkable potential for rapid adaptation. The ovoviviparous New Zealand mud snail (NZMS), Potamopyrgus antipodarum, has successfully established across Europe with two clonally reproducing mitochondrial lineages since its arrival in the first half of the 19th century. Its remarkable variation in shell morphology was shown to be fitness relevant. We investigated the effects of temperature on shell morphology across 11 populations from Germany and the Iberian Peninsula in a common garden across three temperatures. We analyzed size and shape using geometric morphometrics. For both, we compared reaction norms and estimated heritabilities. For size, the interaction of temperature and haplotype explained about 50% of the total variance. We also observed more genotype by environment interactions indicating a higher degree of population differentiation than in shape. Across the three temperatures, size followed the expectations of the temperature‐size rule, with individuals growing larger in cold environments. Changes in shape may have compensated for changes in size affecting space for brooding embryos. Heritability estimates were relatively high. As indicated by the very low coefficients of variation for clonal repeatability (CVA), they can probably not be compared in absolute terms. However, they showed some sensitivity to temperature, in haplotype t more so than in z, which was only found in Portugal. The low CVA values indicate that genetic variation among European populations is still restricted with a low potential to react to selection. A considerable fraction of the genetic variation was due to differences between the clonal lineages. The NZMS has apparently not been long enough in Europe to accumulate significant genetic variation relevant for morphological adaptation. As temperature is obviously not the sole factor influencing shell morphology, their interaction will probably not be a factor limiting population persistence under a warming climate in Europe.
Many of the world’s most biodiverse regions are found in the poorest and second most populous continent of Africa; a continent facing exceptional challenges. Africa is projected to quadruple its population by 2100 and experience increasingly severe climate change and environmental conflict—all of which will ravage biodiversity. Here we assess conservation threats facing Africa and consider how these threats will be affected by human population growth, economic expansion, and climate change. We then evaluate the current capacity and infrastructure available to conserve the continent’s biodiversity. We consider four key questions essential for the future of African conservation: (1) how to build societal support for conservation efforts within Africa; (2) how to build Africa’s education, research, and management capacity; (3) how to finance conservation efforts; and (4) is conservation through development the appropriate approach for Africa? While the challenges are great, ways forward are clear, and we present ideas on how progress can be made. Given Africa’s current modest capacity to address its biodiversity crisis, additional international funding is required, but estimates of the cost of conserving Africa’s biodiversity are within reach. The will to act must build on the sympathy for conservation that is evident in Africa, but this will require building the education capacity within the continent. Considering Africa’s rapidly growing population and the associated huge economic needs, options other than conservation through development need to be more effectively explored. Despite the gravity of the situation, we believe that concerted effort in the coming decades can successfully curb the loss of biodiversity in Africa.
1. Anthropogenic climate change is a substantial threat to global biodiversity. It may affect insect herbivores directly and indirectly. Indirect effects are, among others, mediated by climate‐change induced variation in host‐plant quality. Although being potentially important, little is known on the significance of such indirect effects and on interactions among environmental stressors in plant–herbivore interactions.
2. To simulate the potential impact of climate change, we investigated effects of host‐plant temperature and soil moisture on herbivore performance in the tropical butterfly Bicyclus anynana under laboratory conditions.
3. Maize grown at high temperatures or under wet conditions reduced herbivore performance, indicated by decreased body mass, storage reserves, phenoloxidase activity, and increased development time. Temperature and soil moisture acted largely independent of one another. Detrimental effects of the high plant temperature were restricted to males, indicating a higher vulnerability of this sex to environmental stress.
4. In nature, B. anynana might be threatened by increasing temperatures during the wet season negatively affecting host‐plant quality. Our study shows that herbivore performance can be substantially affected by indirect effects mediated through changes in host‐plant quality, which deserves more attention in the current era of global climate change.
In a changing world, phytoplankton communities face a large variety of challenges including altered light regimes. These alterations are caused by more pronounced stratification due to rising temperatures, enhanced eutrophication, and browning of lakes. Community responses toward these effects can emerge as alterations in physiology, biomass, biochemical composition, or diversity. In this study, we addressed the combined effects of changes in light and nutrient conditions on community responses. In particular, we investigated how light intensity and variability under two nutrient conditions influence (1) fast responses such as adjustments in photosynthesis, (2) intermediate responses such as pigment adaptation and (3) slow responses such as changes in community biomass and species composition. Therefore, we exposed communities consisting of five phytoplankton species belonging to different taxonomic groups to two constant and two variable light intensity treatments combined with two levels of phosphorus supply. The tested phytoplankton communities exhibited increased fast reactions of photosynthetic processes to light variability and light intensity. The adjustment of their light harvesting mechanisms via community pigment composition was not affected by light intensity, variability, or nutrient supply. However, pigment specific effects of light intensity, light variability, and nutrient supply on the proportion of the respective pigments were detected. Biomass was positively affected by higher light intensity and nutrient concentrations while the direction of the effect of variability was modulated by light intensity. Light variability had a negative impact on biomass at low, but a positive impact at high light intensity. The effects on community composition were species specific. Generally, the proportion of green algae was higher under high light intensity, whereas the cyanobacterium performed better under low light conditions. In addition to that, the diatom and the cryptophyte performed better with high nutrient supply while the green algae as well as the cyanobacterium performed better at low nutrient conditions. This shows that light intensity, light variability, and nutrient supply interactively affect communities. Furthermore, the responses are highly species and pigment specific, thus to clarify the effects of climate change a deeper understanding of the effects of light variability and species interactions within communities is important.