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Abstract: The Arctic has experienced a pronounced increase in air temperature over the last four decades, with an average increase of 0.4 °C per decade and thus an increase of almost the double rate than that of temperate regions. Remote sensing studies and repeat photography of historical images have shown large-scale increases of plant productivity in tundra ecosystems over the same time period. A pronounced size, abundance and biomass increase of shrubs has been observed. This so called shrub expansion has important repercussions for the vegetation, the animals, the soil, the energy and the carbon balance of the Arctic tundra and on regional and global climate. As the comparison of historical photographs with recent photographs has shown, this shrub expansion occurs on different temporal and spatial scales with areas of strong increase in shrub cover (expanding patches) and areas without noticeable changes in shrub vegetation (stable patches). While remote sensing approaches for the detection of changes in vegetation are limited in their temporal coverage and so far also in their resolution, historical photographs with high resolution are often not available. Experimental studies have shown that an increase in nutrients or temperature often resulted in increased shrub biomass, but findings were partly contradictory, referred to short term observations and usually confined to small areas. To bridge the gap between spatially limited plot-scale experiments and global large-scale assessment of plant productivity by satellite derived pictures, dendrochronology was used in this thesis to analyze the drivers for and the rate of shrub growth of different widespread evergreen and deciduous shrub species in alpine and arctic tundra and to reconstruct historic environmental conditions. In detail, this doctoral thesis was conducted to study shrub growth and to assess the applicability of traditional dendrochronological methods on shrubs that had been so far mainly applied to trees and to test whether shrubs differed morphologically from trees. Further, I was determined to look for evidence for a possible Scandinavian shrub range expansion and to assess which climatic factors – temperature, precipitation or snow – influenced shrub growth significantly. Moreover, we aimed to find the reason for the observed heterogeneity of the shrub expansion on the landscape and its relevance for the three most common shrubs on the Alaskan tundra. The methods applied followed the routines usually applied for dendrochronological analyses of treerings, with the exception that usually several stem discs of the main stem were analyzed and frequently had to be prepared with help of a microtome as thin-sections, that were stained and sealed on a coverglass before annual shrubrings were measured. The averaged shrubring widths were then compared with environmental factors through correlation and regression methods. This thesis gives first a general introduction to climate change in the Arctic, shrub expansion on the tundra, the scientific discipline of dendrochronology or -ecology on shrubs and its development, the main research questions and the thesis outline. Then seven research papers are presented and the main results and conclusions are synthesized and discussed and finally possible venues of future research are outlined. The most important insights gained from this thesis are the following: I) Dendroecological methods can be applied to shrubs. Insights into shrub morphology have been gained by detecting an interesting mechanism for coping with adverse environmental conditions of both, trees and shrubs that can save resources by confining the production of wood to the upper parts of the stem. II) Further, I found evidence for a shrub expansion in Scandinavia. III) I could establish the causal link between the current climate warming and increased radial and vertical shrub growth by identifying summer temperature as main driver for shrub growth. IV) Results from the Alaskan tundra indicate a strongly adverse role of snow for shrub growth in stable patches, refuting the popular snow-shrub-microbe hypothesis for this extensive area across species. The differing influence of snow is likely linked to the presence of permafrost and shallow active layers and the snow’s contribution to moist or even anoxic conditions in Alaska. V) Furthermore, we found that the different rates and the spatial heterogeneity of shrub expansion are accompanied by strong differences in the surrounding vegetation composition and the soil parameters of expanding (accustomed to more favorable conditions) and stable shrub patches. VI) These differences are predisposed by shrub patch position within the landscape, comprising different levels and rates of disturbance. VII) Additionally, shrub ring records were successfully used as natural archives to model past temperature dynamics respectively summer glacier mass balance with high accuracy. VIII) Finally, a synthesis of the climate-growth relationships of shrubs of more than 25 sites around the Arctic as joined effort together with other leading shrub researchers supports the presence of a circumpolar shrub expansion, gives recommendations for methods used in shrub dendroecology and lays out future research directions. The findings of my dissertation research show that the analysis of shrubs by dendroecological methods yields highly interesting results, and they greatly improved our understanding of factors that influence individual shrub growth, the reconstruction of earlier environmental conditions as well as the reconstruction and assessment of plant population dynamics.
For many years, rangeland ecologists have debated about whether the state of semi-arid and arid rangelands is the expression of an ecological equilibrium or non-equilibrium dynamics reached in response to grazing livestock. Since the problem has been considered at different spatial scales, it is recognised that the competing concepts of equilibrium and non-equilibrium dynamics need to be integrated. Furthermore, the role of environmental variables as vegetation driving factors has long been ignored in the discussion on grazing effects on ecosystems. Present thesis, examines the dependence of plant communities on environmental in particular site-ecological conditions in three ecosystems of Western Mongolia established along a precipitation gradient to detect the vegetation-driving ecological factors involved. Furthermore, grazing impact is exemplary assessed in a desert steppe at additional spatial scales of plant communities and population. At the landscape level, a classification of plant communities in dependence on environmental conditions is carried out. Additionally, the investigations focused on the impact of grazing on soil and on the occurrence of grazing-mediated plant communities. Data were sampled along an altitudinal gradient between 1150 m to 3050 m a.s.l. from arid lowland with desert steppe via semi-arid mountain steppe to humid alpine belt. Within each altitudinal belt, data sampling was carried out along grazing gradients, established from grazing hot spots to areas distant from them. By means of an environmentally based vegetation classification, factors with highest explanation values for largest variation in vegetation were identified and considered as most responsible for vegetation patterns. To validate and affirm the classification, three different statistical methods are applied: environmentally adjusted table work of vegetation relevés supported by cluster analysis of species distribution, detrended correspondence analysis of vegetation data separately from environmental data, and the principle component analysis of only environmental data. Vegetation-driving factors change along the altitudinal gradient from abiotic forces in the desert steppe, as e.g. altitude and soil texture, to abiotic and biotic forces in the alpine belt represented by soil texture, soil nutrients and grazing. Vegetation and soil of all ecosystems respond to grazing but with different patterns and to a different extent. While desert steppe does not indicate grazing communities, mountain steppe demonstrates grazing communities at fertilised sites and alpine belt at nutrients depleted sites. Thus, the grazing sensitiveness of the ecosystems is assumed to be linked with plant productivity and the role of vegetation as site-determining factor (Chapter 2). To examine grazing impact at lower spatial scales on desert steppe as the ecosystem with lowest grazing sensitiveness at the landscape scale, at community scale the total number of species, the total vegetation cover, the percentage of annual species, the cover of annual species, and properties of soil nutrient along gradients of grazing intensity within three different communities were assessed. Vegetation parameters respond to grazing in different ways, and the responses of the same parameters vary between plant communities. Correlations with grazing intensity indicate only partly statistical significance. Significant correlations of grazing intensity with concentrations of soil nutrient point to eutrophication in two communities. A comparison of vegetation and soil properties refers to a greater indirect influence of grazing via increased soil nutrients than the direct effect on vegetation (Chapter 4). At the population level, data about stand density, aboveground biomass, individual plant weight, and the proportion of flowering plants of the dominant dwarf semi-shrub Artemisia xerophytica were collected along a grazing gradient. Soil data were used to distinguish between grazing and edaphic influences. All parameters of Artemisia xerophytica reflect the assumed gradient of grazing intensity up to 800 m distance from the grazing hot spot. As grazing pressure decreases, plant density and total biomass per plot increase. The average shrub weight, an indicator of plant vitality, is related to both: distance from the grazing hot spot and stand density, which may be explained by additional intraspecific competition at higher densities. At a longer distance, these effects are masked by variations in soil parameters determining water availability, leading to quite similar degradation forms. These results are in contrast to other studies carried out at the scale of plant communities which did not detect significant changes along a grazing gradient. One explanation is the different map scale: the study took place only within a single plant community comparing populations of one species (Chapter 3). The comparative study demonstrates that even arid desert steppes of western Mongolia display equilibrial and non-equilibrial properties, depending on the observational scale: while no grazing mediated plant communities could be identified at the landscape scale as predicted by the non-equlilibrium model, at the community level vegetation parameters imply an intermediate position between equilibrium and non-equilibrium system. At the population level, the results clearly reflect the grazing gradient as predicted by the equilibrium model (Chapter 4). As a consequence, the assessment of vegetation dynamics and grazing impact in rangelands requires a multiple-scale approach that duly considers different vegetation properties responding differently to grazing, climatic and edaphic variability at different spatial scales. It is further suggested, that future research should draw comparisons between landscapes that co-evolved with herbivory, and those that did without (Chapter 4).