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Forests are key biomes linked to biogeochemical cycles, important species reservoirs and major ecosystem services providers. The observed global climate change in the 20th century has the potential to deeply affect the conservation, functioning and structure of these ecosystems. Expressed as rising average temperatures due to the increase in atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, nitrate oxide and methane, pollutants which are mostly product of burning fuel for industrial activities. These long-term changes will be heterogeneous in time and space throughout the globe. For northeastern Germany, predictions indicate that summer temperature and winter precipitation will be at a constant rise, whereas summer precipitation is expected to decrease, conditions will increase the risk of drought conditions. The changes in long-term means will be accompanied by increased frequency of weather extremes. The overall effect of climate change, both its long- and short-term components and their interaction with forest growth is uncertain. Tree
species in the temperate forest are highly adapted to seasonal growth, active in late-spring and summer when temperature thresholds activate primary and secondary growth as well as leaf development, given sufficient water availability. During winter, they become dormant as an strategy to decrease damage by freezing temperatures. These adaptations ultimately determine species distributions as they occur along climate gradients within their ecological
optima. Thus climate change can have a significant effect on species distribution ranges and more locally it can change species abundances. Trees being sessile organisms, possess limited dispersal capacities and rely on their adaptation potential, both genetically through selection over generations and through phenotypic plasticity (e.g. the capacity of adapting to changing conditions within a lifetime).
Tree growth can be explored by dendrochronological methods, that is, by analyzing traits of annual xylem bands as produced by the vascular cambium. These traits are width, wood anatomical properties (e.g. cell wall thickness, lumen diameter), and isotopic composition.
Tree-rings are integrators of environmental conditions and indicators of vitality and productivity of trees and forests. Studying these traits allows to understand the effect of climate on growth and physiological function over decadal to centennial scales in the past and by it inform about future growth performance. However, environmental information is not trivially extracted from tree-rings. Environmental signals in tree-rings are often the result of
complex interactions of lagged meteorological conditions and tree-scale characteristics such as size, canopy status (i.e. social status), competition and stand density, among other factors. For this reason the monitoring of secondary growth as it unfolds, for example through dendrometer monitoring (i.e. record of the stem-radial variations at intra-annual temporal scales) and repeated sampling for the study of xylogenesis, is of major importance to understand climate-growth relationships and bridge the gap between dendroecological analysis atdifferent ecological scales (from single trees to stands to populations). Therefore this thesis contains contributions a) to the understanding of long-term climate shifts and its effect on tree growth for species in the Central European temperate forests through dendrochronological assessments and contributions b) to understanding intra-annual growth dynamics and
its relationship to meteorological conditions through the analysis of monitoring records. In the retrospective analysis chapters (I-III), first an assessment was performed of the climate-growth relationships of important species of these region which indicated that deciduous species’ growth (Fagus sylvatica, Quercus robur and Q. petreae) was influenced mostly by summer water availability. For Pinus sylvestris was late spring temperature. Negative correlations between winter temperatures and growth indices of deciduous species increased over the last decades, possibly linked to less snow cover of the soil leading to root damage causing growth reductions. Scots pine presented the opposite, as positive correlations with winter temperatures became more frequent, indicating that this species’ growth rates might
benefit from an elongation of the vegetation period. Afterwards the effect of stand characteristics in the climate response was explored. The climate signal of solitary oak trees growing in northeastern Germany was compared to oaks in closed stands. Solitary trees
expressed higher growth rates and drought signals, which endanger its conservation as dry conditions are expected to increase in the region. As in the temperate forest crowding effects are variable throughout a tree’s lifetime, as well as other limiting factors (e.g. climate), we subsequently developed a methodology based on analysis of individual tree-ring series rather than chronologies (site means) to disentangle these effects on heterogeneous samples and quantify them. By sampling all present crown classes in a site near Rostock (Germany), we found beech was mostly affected by water availability in the previous summer
and this effect was well represented throughout the population. For oak the main climatic driver of growth was previous October temperature with a low representation throughout the obtained sample. For beech, the main trait governing the variability around the response to the main climate driver of growth was cambial age, and for oak was crown-projection/size. On the prospective analysis chapters (IV-VI), monitoring datasets from the years 2013-2019 were used for the analysis of meteorological forcing of dendrometer series, the effect of a multi-year drought event and for the development of a method to combine continuous dendrometer records with discrete histological observations from xylogenesis analysis. The analysis of meteorological forcing on stem-radial variations indicated all observed species (beech, oak, hornbeam in this case) respond similarly to atmospheric water content whereas
the growth phenology displayed contrasting species differences. These findings indicate high-frequency variations in stem dynamics are similar between species as it reflects transpiration and water transport in the stem, whereas the timing of growth reflects life strategies and
wood anatomical adaptations. Next we evaluated the effect of the consecutive drought years 2018-2019 using dendrometer data (beech, oak, hornbeam and sycamore maple). The increment levels after the onset of drought in 2018 were not reduced for the observed individuals, whereas in 2019 all species showed decreased growth levels, particularly beech. Most likely the water moisture reservoirs were adequately filled in winter and spring before summer 2018, which lead to increased buffer capacity to withstand the harsh conditions for radial growth. However in winter, and the spring before the summer of 2019, there was not sufficient precipitation which lead to less resistance to the second bought of the drought event.
This illustrates the complex lagged meteorological effect on radial growth, which is easily obscured in retrospective dendroecological analysis and emphasizes the pivotal role of soil moisture and soil water storage in tree-growth analysis. As a final contribution, while recognizing the importance of prospective growth monitoring, we developed a software tool to visualize and combine dendrometer stem-radial variations with images of histological events, such as those obtained by microcores for xylogenesis analysis. Growth signals in dendrometers are often of smaller magnitude than variations related to stem-water dynamics. By comparing them with histological images of wood-formation it is possible to accurately assign growth phases to dendrometer series and optimize their assessment. The advancement in methodological approaches to study intra-annual tree growth data is of major importance in the context of permanent ecological monitoring plots and its role in the assessment of the consequences of climate change on forest growth and conservation.
Overall the findings of this thesis indicate that climate change impacts in the temperate forest of Central Europe will be and have been varied depending on the species considered with stand, site and tree-level conditions strongly modulating its consequences and even direction. Deciduous species, particularly beech, will be at risk due to decreased water availability during summer for which beech shows a high sensitivity. While oak seems to
be less prone to drought related growth reductions and it is plausible to consider changes in dominance towards drier sites, it is still at risk if vulnerability thresholds are crossed. Scots pine appears to be favored by the increased temperatures during late winter, although these are naturally found on poor sites or sites either too dry or too wet for other dominant deciduous species to establish. Nevertheless, Scots pine has been planted on a variety of site conditions and especially in northeastern Germany is among the most widespread and economically important forest trees. Furthermore, the individual variability we have found in climate responses indicates that heterogeneous stands contain resilient sub-populations that
could guarantee survivorship of the species after stark changes in climate means. However, it appears that strong enough stressors such as hotter droughts can trigger wide ecosystem changes with more efficiency than shifts in climate means. Due to this intra-annual growth
monitoring is particularly relevant to foretell ecosystem changes and to understand the complex relationships found in climate-growth analysis performed in dendroecological studies, as it permits to mechanistically understand how conditions outside the tree-ring formation
period affects wood formation.
Forests are ecologically important ecosystems, for example, they absorb CO2 from the
atmosphere, mitigate climate change, and constitute habitats for the majority of terrestrial
flora and fauna. Currently, due to increasing human pressure, forest ecosystems are
increasingly subjected to changing environmental conditions, which may alter forest growth
to varying degrees. However, how exactly different tree species will respond to climate
change remains uncertain and requires further comprehensive studies performed at different
spatial scales and using various tree-ring parameters.
This dissertation aims to advance the knowledge about tree-ring densitometry and
tree responses to climate variability and extremes at different spatial scales, using various
tree species. More specifically, the following aims are pursued: (i) to obtain and compare
wood density data using different techniques, and to assess variability among laboratories
(Chapter I). (ii) To investigate microsite effects on local and regional Scots pine (Pinus
sylvestris L.) responses to climate variability (Chapter II) and extremes (Chapter III),
using ring width (RW) and latewood blue intensity (LBI) parameters. (iii) To give a general
site- and regional-scales overview of Scots pine, pedunculate oak (Quercus robur L.), and
European beach (Fagus sylvatica L.) RW responses to climate variability (Chapter IV). (iv)
To discuss the challenges which may result from compiling tree ring records from different
(micro)sites into large-scale networks. The study area comprises nine coastal dune sites, each
represented by two contrasting microsites: dune ridge and bottom (Chapters II and III), and
310 different sites within the south Baltic Sea lowlands (Chapter IV).
The dissertation confirms that sample processing and wood density measuring are
very important steps, which, if not performed carefully, may result in biases in growth trends,
climate-growth responses, and climate reconstructions. The performed experiment proved
that the mean levels of different wood density-related parameters are never comparable due
to different measurement resolutions between various techniques and laboratories. Further,
the study revealed substantial biases using data measured from rings of varying width due
to resolution issues, where resolution itself and wood density are lowered for narrow rings
compared to wide rings (Chapter I).
The (micro)site-specific investigation showed that, depending on the species,
different climate variables (temperature, precipitation, or drought) constitute important
factors driving tree growth across investigated locations (Chapters II and IV). However,
there is evidence that the strength and/or direction of climate-growth responses differ(s)
between microsite types (Chapter II) and across sites (Chapter IV). Moreover, climategrowth
responses are non-stationary over time regardless of the tree species and tree-ring
parameter used in the analysis (Chapters II and IV). There are also differences in RW and
LBI responses to extreme events at dune ridge and bottom microsites (Chapter III).
The regional-scale investigations revealed that climate-growth responses (strength
and non-stationarity) are quite similar to those observed at the local scale. However,
compiling RW or LBI measurements into regional networks to study tree responses to
extreme events led to weakened signals (Chapter III).
The findings presented in Chapters II and IV suggest that the strength, direction,
and non-stationary responses are very likely caused by several climatic and non-climatic
factors. The mild climate in the south Baltic Sea region presumably does not constitute a
leading limiting growth factor, especially for Scots pine, whose distribution extends from
southern to northern Europe. Thus, the observed climate-growth responses are usually of
weak to moderate strength. In contrast, for other species reaching their distribution limit at
the Baltic coast, the climatic signal can be very strong. However, the observed findings also
result from the effects of microsite conditions, and potentially other factors (e.g.,
management, stand dynamic), which all together alter the physiological response of the tree
at a local scale. Although climate at the south Baltic Sea coast is mild, extreme climate events
may occur and affect tree growth. As demonstrated (Chapter III), extreme climate events
affected tree growth across dune sites, however, to varying degrees. The prominent
differences in tree responses to extreme climate events were significant at the local scale but
averaged out at the regional scale. This is very likely associated with observed microsite
differences, where each microsite experiences different drivers and dynamics of extreme
growth reductions.
This dissertation helped to demonstrate that integrating local tree-ring records into
regional networks involves a series of challenges, which arise at different stages of research.
In fact, not all possible challenges have been discussed in this dissertation. However, it can
be summarized that several steps performed first at the local scale are very important for the
quality and certainty of climate-growth responses, tracking tree recovery after extreme
events, and potential climate reconstructions at the larger scale. Among them, identification
of microsite conditions, sample preparation, and measurement, examination of growth
patterns and trends, and identification of a common limiting growth factor are very
important. Otherwise, the compilation of various tree-ring data into a single dataset could
lead to over- or underestimation of the results and biased interpretations.
Abstract
Aim
Distribution ranges of temperate tree species are shifting poleward and upslope into cooler environments due to global warming. Successful regeneration is crucial for population persistence and range expansion. Thus, we aimed to identify environmental variables that affect germination and seedling establishment of Europe's dominant forest tree, to compare the importance of plasticity and genetic variation for regeneration, and to evaluate the regeneration potential at and beyond the southern and northern distribution margins.
Location
Europe.
Time period
2016–2018.
Major taxa studied
European beech (Fagus sylvatica (L.)).
Methods
We investigated how germination, establishment and juvenile survival change across a reciprocal transplantation experiment using over 9,000 seeds of beech from 7 populations from its southern to its northern distribution range margins.
Results
Germination and establishment at the seedling stage were highly plastic in response to environmental conditions. Germination success increased with warmer and declined with colder air temperature, whereas establishment and survival were hampered under warmer and drier conditions. Germination differed among populations and was positively influenced by seed weight. However, there was no evidence of local adaptation in any trait.
Main conclusions
The high plasticity in the early life‐history traits found irrespective of seed origin may allow for short‐term acclimatization. However, our results also indicate that this plasticity might not be sufficient to ensure the regeneration of beech in the future due to the low survival found under dry and hot conditions. The future climatic conditions in parts of the distribution centre and at the rear edge might thus become limiting for natural regeneration, as the likelihood of extreme heat and drought events will increase. By contrast, at the cold distribution margin, the high plasticity in the early life‐history traits may allow for increasing germination success with increasing temperatures and may thus facilitate natural regeneration in the future.
Abstract
Aim
Climate limits the potential distribution ranges of species. Establishment and growth of individuals at range margins is assumed to be more limited by extreme events such as drought or frost events than in the centre of their range. We explore whether the growth of beech is more sensitive to drought towards the dry distribution margin and more sensitive to frost towards the cold distribution margin. Furthermore, we aim to gain insight into the adaptive potential of beech towards both the dry and cold distribution margins.
Location
European gradient from the dry (Spain) to the cold (Poland, Sweden) distribution margin of beech.
Taxon
European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.).
Methods
We applied a range‐wide dendroecological study to analyse spatial and temporal trends in climate–growth relationships. We further investigated negative growth anomalies and growth synchrony towards the range margins.
Results
We found beech to be drought sensitive across its whole range, except at the dry distribution margin. Furthermore, sensitivity to winter temperature was not found in the centre or at the cold distribution margin, but at the southern distribution margin. Growth synchrony was lower at the dry than at the cold distribution margin.
Main conclusions
Beech seems to be adapted to drought at the dry distribution margin with a high adaptive potential indicated by the lowest growth synchrony along the gradient. At the cold distribution margin, cold events in winter and spring were less important for growth than drought. Still, the importance of spring frost for beech growth appears to increase in recent decades. Considering a projected north‐eastward shift of the distribution range, beech is likely facing drought stress in combination with spring frost risk at the cold margin which could lead to a hampered range expansion.
Species have to cope with climate change either by migration or by adaptation and acclimatisation. Especially for long-living tree species with a low seed dispersal capacity (e.g. European beech, hereafter called beech), the in situ responses through genetic adaptation and phenotypic plasticity play an important role for their persistence. Beech, the dominant climax tree species in Central Europe, shows a high drought sensitivity and its distribution range is expected to shift northwards. On the other hand, projected northward shifts need to be taken with caution, as some studies suggest a sensitivity of beech to frost events in winter and spring. However, studies on the growth performance of cold-marginal beech populations are still rare. Previous studies on beech populations found local adaptation to drought and phenotypic plasticity in fitness-related traits as well as phenological traits. However, studies on the regeneration of beech under natural conditions are yet missing, although germination and establishment of young trees are a very first selective bottleneck and are crucial for tree population persistence and for successful range shifts.
This PhD-thesis aimed to identify the potential of plasticity and local adaptation in the important early life-history traits germination, establishment after the 1st year, and survival after the 2nd year in a reciprocal transplantation experiment at 11 sites across and even beyond the distribution range of beech (Manuscript 1). Moreover, this thesis investigated the climate sensitivity and the adaptation potential of beech populations by conducting dendroecological studies along a large climatic gradient across the distribution range (Manuscript 2) and along a strong winter temperature gradient towards the cold distribution margin in Poland (Manuscript 3). In addition, the impact of local climatic singularities was studied in a local study at the southern margin (Manuscript 4).
Warm and dry conditions limited natural regeneration, which was indicated by very low survival of young trees, even though germination rates increased with increasing temperature (Manuscript 1). This was also the case in parts of the distribution centre due to the hot and dry conditions in 2018. Although the transplantation experiment revealed high plasticity in the early life-history traits, this plasticity might thus not buffer against climate change under dry conditions. Local adaptation was not detected for any of these traits along the climatic gradient. In contrast, the results of the dendroecological study across the gradient (Manuscript 2) hint towards an adaptation potential of adult trees to drought at the southern margin. Thus, adult trees seemed to be adapted to drought at the southern margin, whereas tree growth in the distribution centre was sensitive to drought. These results indicate that parts of the centre may become ecologically marginal with increasing drought frequency in times of climate change. Interestingly, Manuscript 4 shows that beech growth was positively influenced by frequent fog immersion at the southern distribution margin in north-eastern Spain. This study underlines the importance of local climatic singularities, as they may allow marginal populations to grow in climate refugia in an otherwise unfavourable climate.
At the cold distribution margin, the study in Manuscript 1 found a remarkably higher survival of young trees in Sweden than in Poland. Moreover, the dendroecological studies revealed that beech was hampered by both drought at the cold-dry margin (Manuscript 2) and by winter cold at the cold-wet margin in Poland (Manuscript 3). All these results highlight the importance to study climate sensitivity of adult trees and the response of early life-history traits at the cold margin with a more differentiated view comparing cold-dry against the cold-wet populations and growing conditions. However, the high plasticity of the early life-history traits may allow for an increasing germination rate with climate warming at the northern margin and may thus facilitate natural regeneration there. In contrast, the dendroecological studies suggest that adult trees at the cold distribution margin may suffer either from drought or from winter cold and that the risk for spring frost may increase. Thus, the often-predicted compensation of dry-marginal population decline by a northward range expansion should be discussed more critically.
In conclusion, my PhD thesis provides new knowledge about the potential of natural regeneration and about climate sensitivity of adult trees across the distribution range of beech. Moreover, it underlines the importance to study both the young tree stages as well as adult trees to assess the performance and vulnerability of tree species under climate change, as both showed differences in their response to changing environmental conditions.
Individual white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) growth limitations at treelines in Alaska
(2018)
White spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) is one of the most common conifers in Alaska and various treelines mark the species distribution range. Because treelines positions are driven by climate and because climate change is estimated to be strongest in northern latitudes, treeline shifts appear likely. However, species range shifts depend on various species parameters, probably most importantly on phenotypic plasticity, genetic adaptation
and dispersal. Due to their long generation cycles and their immobility, trees evolved to endure a wide variety of climatic conditions. In most locations, interannual climate variability is larger than the expected climate change until 2100. Thus treeline position is typically thought of as the integrated effect of multiple years and to lag behind gradual climate change by several decades. Past dendrochronological studies revealed that growth of white spruce in Alaska can be limited by several climatic variables, in particular water stress and low temperatures. Depending on how the intensity of climate warming, this could result in a leading range edge at treelines limited by low temperatures and trailing treelines where soil moisture is or becomes most limiting. Climate-growth correlations are the dendrochronological version of reaction norms and describe the relationship between an environmental variable and traits like tree-ring parameters (e.g. ring width, wood density, wood anatomy). These correlations can be used to explore potential effects of climate change on a target species. However, it is known that individuals differ with respect to multiple variables like size, age, microsite conditions, competition status or their genome. Such individual differences could be important because they can modulate climate-growth relationships and consequently also range shifts and growth trends. Removing individual differences by averaging tree-ring parameters of many individuals into site chronologies could be an oversimplification that might bias estimates of future white spruce performance. Population dynamics that emerge from the interactions of individuals (e.g. competition) and the range of reactions to the same environmental drivers can only be studied via individual tree analyses. Consequently, this thesis focuses on factors that might alter individual white spruce’ climate sensitivity and methods to assess such effects. In particular, the research articles included explore three topics:
1. First, clones were identified via microsatellites and high-frequency climate signals of clones were compared to that of non-clonal individuals. Clonal and non-clonal individuals showed similar high-frequency climate signals which allows to use clonal and non-clonal individuals to construct mean site chronologies. However, clones were more frequently found under the harsher environmental conditions at the treelines which could be of interest for the species survival strategy at alpine treelines and is further explored in the associated RESPONSE project A5 by David Würth.
2. In the second article, methods for the exploration and visualization of individual-tree differences in climate sensitivity are described. These methods represent a toolbox to explore causes for the variety of different climate sensitivities found in individual
trees at the same site. Though, overlaying gradients of multiple factors like temperature, tree density and/or tree height can make it difficult to attribute a single cause to the range of reaction norms (climate growth correlations).
3. Lastly, the third article attempts to disentangle the effect of age and size on climate-growth correlations. Multiple past studies found that trees of different Ages responded differently to climatic drivers. In contrast, other studies found that trees do not age like many other organisms. Age and size of a trees are roughly correlated, though there are large differences in the growth rate of trees, which can lead to smaller trees that are older than taller trees. Consequently, age is an imperfect Proxy for size and in contrast to age, size has been shown to affect wood anatomy and thus tree physiology. The article compares two tree-age methods and one tree-size method based on cumulative ring width. In line with previous research on aging and Wood anatomy, tree size appeared to be the best predictor to explain ontogenetic changes in white spruce’ climate sensitivity. In particular, tallest trees exhibited strongest correlations with water stress in previous year July. In conclusion, this thesis is about factors that can alter climate-growth relationships (reaction norms) of white spruce. The results emphasize that interactions between climate variables and other factors like tree size or competition status are important for estimates of future tree growth and potential treeline shifts. In line with previous studies on white spruce in Alaska, the results of this thesis underline the importance of water stress for white spruce.
Individuals that are taller and that have more competitors for water appear to be most susceptible to the potentially drier future climate in Alaska. While tree ring based growth trends estimates of white spruce are difficult to derive due to multiple overlaying low frequency (>10 years) signals, all investigated treeline sites showed highest growth at the treeline edge. This could indicate expanding range edges. However, a potential bottleneck for treeline advances and retreats could be seedling establishment, which should be explored in more detail in the future.