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Abstract
This article takes a novel look at the relationship between government activity, partisan preferences and varieties of capitalism. Evidence from panel regressions for 25 EU countries from 1990 to 2014 suggests that there are major divides among European countries in terms of the drivers of government activity, that is, government spending and government regulation. The European divide appears to be even more pronounced between liberal and coordinated economic systems than between the classical geographical divide of east and west, which is typically used in most contributions. While both divides apply to the determinants of government activity in general, a reversal of the classical partisan effect for the east is to be found only in specific cases and, is most likely in government spending in liberal eastern countries.
Abstract
This paper focuses on the expectation formation process of professional forecasters by relying on survey data on forecasts regarding gross domestic product growth, consumer price index inflation and 3‐month interest rates for a broad set of countries. We examine the interrelation between macroeconomic forecasts and also the impact of uncertainty on forecasts by allowing for cross‐country interdependencies and time variation in the coefficients. We find that professional forecasts are often in line with the Taylor rule and identify significant expectation spillovers from monetary policy in the USA.
In 2009, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) started its journey towards achieving Universal Health Coverage (UHC). This study examines the evolution of financial risk protection and health outcomes indicators in the context of the commitment of DRC to UHC. To measure the effects of such a commitment on financial risk protection and health outcomes indicators, we analyse whether changes have occurred over the last two decades and, if applicable, when these changes happened. Using five variables as indicators for the measurement of the financial risk protection component, there as well retained three indicators to measure health outcomes. To identify time-related effects, we applied the parametric approach of breakpoint regression to detect whether the UHC journey has brought change and when exactly the change has occurred.
Although there is a slight improvement in the financial risk protection indicators, we found that the adopted strategies have fostered access to healthcare for the wealthiest quantile of the population while neglecting the majority of the poorest. The government did not thrive persistently over the past decade to meet its commitment to allocate adequate funds to health expenditures. In addition, the support from donors appears to be unstable, unpredictable and unsustainable. We found a slight improvement in health outcomes attributable to direct investment in building health centres by the private sector and international organizations. Overall, our findings reveal that the prevention of catastrophic health expenditure is still not sufficiently prioritized by the country, and mostly for the majority of the poorest. Therefore, our work suggests that DRC’s UHC journey has slightly contributed to improve the financial risk protection and health outcomes indicators but much effort should be undertaken.
Strategic Management in Healthcare: A Call for Long-Term and Systems-Thinking in an Uncertain System
(2022)
Strategic management is becoming increasingly important for sustainable management in healthcare. The reasons for this can be seen in the increasing complexity, dynamics and uncertainty of the system’s regimes and the resulting need for strategic thinking in a long-term period. The scientific discussion of this issue is the aim of the present analytical framework. The starting point is the definition of the term strategic management itself, followed by a reflection on the requirements resulting from the changes in the political, social and economic value systems of our post-industrial society. In this context, Dynaxity Zone III is used to explain the long-term perspective, the high levels of complexity and uncertainty and the responsibility of strategic management as important parameters. For a practical illustration, we demonstrate two selected applications (German hospital financing systems and development process of implants) and how the implementation of strategic management in the health care system shows success.
Background
Despite the current undersupply of cochlear implants (CIs) with simultaneously increasing indication, CI implantation numbers in Germany still are at a relatively low level.
Methods
As there are hardly any solid forecasts available in the literature, we develop a System Dynamics model that forecasts the number and costs of CI implantations in adults for 40 years from a social health insurance (SHI) perspective.
Results
CI demand will grow marginally by demographic changes causing average annual costs of about 538 million €. Medical-technical progress with following relaxed indication criteria and patients’ increasing willingness for implantation will increase implantation numbers significantly with average annual costs of 765 million €.
Conclusion
CI demand by adults will increase in the future, thus will the costs for CI supply. Continuous research and development in CI technology and supply is crucial to ensure long-term financing of the growing CI demand through cost-reducing innovations.
Hintergrund und Ziel
Um die präklinische Notfallversorgung zu optimieren und aktuelle Herausforderungen zu bewältigen, wurde im Landkreis Vorpommern-Greifswald im Jahr 2017 ein Telenotarzt-System eingeführt. Es sollte aus medizinischer und ökonomischer Sicht geprüft werden, ob dies, insbesondere im ländlichen Raum, eine effiziente Ergänzung der präklinischen Notfallversorgung darstellt.
Methodik
Es wurden ca. 250.000 Einsatzdaten, vor und nach Einführung des Systems, über die Jahre 2015 bis 2020 ausgewertet und ein Prä-Post-Vergleich über die Einsatzstruktur erstellt. Die 3611 Einsätze der Telenotärztinnen und -ärzte (TNA) wurden nach medizinischen Indikationen und zeitlichen Faktoren analysiert sowie mit Einsätzen ohne TNA verglichen. Zusätzlich erfolgten eine Analyse der Gesamtkosten des neuen Versorgungskonzeptes sowie eine Kostenanalyse der prä- und innerklinischen Behandlungskosten ausgewählter Erkrankungen.
Ergebnisse
Das Einsatzspektrum des TNA umfasste alle Altersstufen mit verschiedenen Meldebildern, die zu 48,2 % eine mittlere Erkrankungsschwere (stationäre Behandlung erforderlich) hatten. Von Patient*innen und Mitarbeitenden wurde das System gut angenommen. Die Einsatzdaten zeigten einen signifikanten Rückgang der Notarztbeteiligung bei telenotarztfähigen Einsatzfahrzeugen um 20 %. Die jährlichen Kosten des Systems belaufen sich auf ca. 1,7 Mio. €.
Schlussfolgerung
Die Ergebnisse belegen die Vorteilhaftigkeit des TNA-Systems, sodass es über die Projektdauer hinaus implementiert wurde. Das System ist medizinisch sinnvoll, funktionsfähig sowie effizient und steht als Innovation für die Umsetzung in ganz Deutschland bereit.