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The influence of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on the middle atmosphere (MA) and particularly on MA temperature is of interest for both the understanding of MJO-induced teleconnections and research on the variability of the MA. We analyze statistically the connection of the MJO and the MA zonal mean temperature based on observations by the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) satellite instrument. We consider all eight MJO phases, different seasons and the state of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO). We show that MA temperature anomalies are significantly related to the MJO and its temporal development. The MJO signal in the zonal mean MA temperature is characterized by a particular spatial pattern in the MA, which we link to the interhemispheric coupling (IHC) mechanism, as a major outcome of this study. The signal with the largest magnitude is found in the polar MA during boreal winter with temperature deviations on the order of ±10 K when the QBO at 50 hPa is in its easterly phase. Other atmospheric conditions and locations also exhibit temperature signals, which are, however, weaker or noisier. We also analyze the change in the temperature signal while the MJO progresses from one phase to the next. We find a gradual altitude shift in parts of the IHC pattern, which can be seen more or less clearly depending on the atmospheric conditions.
The statistical link between the MJO and the MA temperature highlights illustratively the far-reaching connections across different atmospheric layers and geographical regions in the atmosphere. Additionally, it highlights close linkages of known dynamical features of the atmosphere, particularly the MJO, the IHC, the QBO and sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). Because of the wide coverage of atmospheric regions and included dynamical features, the results might help to further constrain the underlying dynamical mechanisms and could be used as a benchmark for the representation of atmospheric couplings on the intraseasonal timescale in atmospheric models.
The idea of estimating stratospheric aerosol optical thickness from the twilight colours in historic paintings – particularly under conditions of volcanically enhanced stratospheric aerosol loading – is very tantalizing because it would provide information on the stratospheric aerosol loading over a period of several centuries. This idea has in fact been applied in a few studies in order to provide quantitative estimates of the aerosol optical depth after some of the major volcanic eruptions that occurred during the past 500 years. In this study we critically review this approach and come to the conclusion that the uncertainties in the estimated aerosol optical depths are so large that the values have to be considered questionable. We show that several auxiliary parameters – which are typically poorly known for historic eruptions – can have a similar effect on the red–green colour ratio as a change in optical depth typically associated with eruptions such as, for example, Tambora in 1815 or Krakatoa in 1883. Among the effects considered here, uncertainties in the aerosol particle size distribution have the largest impact on the colour ratios and hence the aerosol optical depth estimate. For solar zenith angles exceeding 80∘, uncertainties in the stratospheric ozone amount can also have a significant impact on the colour ratios. In addition, for solar zenith angles exceeding 90∘ the colour ratios exhibit a dramatic dependence on solar zenith angle, rendering the estimation of aerosol optical depth highly challenging. A quantitative determination of the aerosol optical depth may be possible for individual paintings for which all relevant parameters are sufficiently well constrained in order to reduce the related errors.