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Our study examined whether potentially critical indications from depression questionnaires, interviews, and single items on suicidal ideation among partici-pants in a large prospective population-based study are related to short-term sui-cides within one year. For this purpose, we studied the association between (a) the severity of depressive symptoms according to the M-CIDI and the PHQ-9, BDI-II, and CID-S depression screening and (b) elevated scores on single sui-cidal ideation items and mortality according to claims databases.
In the baseline cohort, the frequency of depressive symptoms measured by CID-S was 12.90% (SHIP-START-0). The frequency for “Moderate” to “Severe de-pression” measured by the PHQ-9 (≥ 10 points) and BDI-II (≥ 20 points) ques-tionnaires ranged from 5.40% (SHIP-LEGENDE) to 8.80% (SHIP-TREND Morbid-ity follow-up). The 1-month prevalence of unipolar depression, measured by the M-CIDI in SHIP LEGENDE, was 2.31%.
Between 5.90% (SHIP-TREND Morbidity follow-up) and 6.60% (SHIP-LEGENDE) of respondents showed a certain degree of suicidal ideation in the two weeks preceding the assessment, according to BDI-II and PHQ-9.
Our results show the high frequency of depressive symptoms in the study region, with women being affected more frequently than men, especially in the higher categories. Furthermore, women were more frequently affected by suicidal idea-tion, although this difference was not evident in the highest categories.
There was one potential suicide in the year after a SHIP examination.
From our results, we cannot conclude that severe self-reported symptoms from depression questionnaires should be reported back to participants of an obser-vational population-based study to prevent suicide deaths within one year.
Background
Few studies have assessed trajectories of alcohol use in the general population, and even fewer studies have assessed the impact of brief intervention on the trajectories. Especially for low-risk drinkers, it is unclear what trajectories occur, whether they benefit from intervention, and if so, when and how long. The aims were first, to identify alcohol use trajectories among at-risk and among low-risk drinkers, second, to explore potential effects of brief alcohol intervention and, third, to identify predictors of trajectories.
Methods
Adults aged 18-64 years were screened for alcohol use at a municipal registration office. Those with alcohol use in the past 12 months (N = 1646; participation rate: 67%) were randomized to assessment plus computer-generated individualized feedback letters or assessment only. Outcome was drinks/week assessed at months 3, 6, 12, and 36. Alcohol risk group (at-risk/low-risk) was determined using the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test–Consumption. Latent class growth models were estimated to identify alcohol use trajectories among each alcohol risk group. Sex, age, school education, employment status, self-reported health, and smoking status were tested as predictors.
Results
For at-risk drinkers, a light-stable class (46%), a medium-stable class (46%), and a high-decreasing class (8%) emerged. The light-stable class tended to benefit from intervention after 3 years (Incidence Rate Ratio, IRR=1.96; 95% Confidence Interval, CI: 1.14–3.37). Male sex, higher age, more years of school, and current smoking decreased the probability of belonging to the light-stable class (p-values<0.05). For low-risk drinkers, a very light-slightly increasing class (72%) and a light-increasing class (28%) emerged. The very light-slightly increasing class tended to benefit from intervention after 6 months (IRR=1.60; 95% CI: 1.12–2.28). Male sex and more years of school increased the probability of belonging to the light-increasing class (p-value < 0.05).
Conclusion
Most at-risk drinkers did not change, whereas the majority of low-risk drinkers increased alcohol use. There may be effects of alcohol feedback, with greater long-term benefits among persons with low drinking amounts. Our findings may help to identify refinements in the development of individualized interventions to reduce alcohol use.