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Significant alterations of cambial activity might be expected due to climate warming, leading to growing season extension and higher growth rates especially in cold-limited forests. However, assessment of climate-change-driven trends in intra-annual wood formation suffers from the lack of direct observations with a timespan exceeding a few years. We used the Vaganov-Shashkin process-based model to: (i) simulate daily resolved numbers of cambial and differentiating cells; and (ii) develop chronologies of the onset and termination of specific phases of cambial phenology during 1961–2017. We also determined the dominant climatic factor limiting cambial activity for each day. To asses intra-annual model validity, we used 8 years of direct xylogenesis monitoring from the treeline region of the Krkonoše Mts. (Czechia). The model exhibits high validity in case of spring phenological phases and a seasonal dynamics of tracheid production, but its precision declines for estimates of autumn phenological phases and growing season duration. The simulations reveal an increasing trend in the number of tracheids produced by cambium each year by 0.42 cells/year. Spring phenological phases (onset of cambial cell growth and tracheid enlargement) show significant shifts toward earlier occurrence in the year (for 0.28–0.34 days/year). In addition, there is a significant increase in simulated growth rates during entire growing season associated with the intra-annual redistribution of the dominant climatic controls over cambial activity. Results suggest that higher growth rates at treeline are driven by (i) temperature-stimulated intensification of spring cambial kinetics, and (ii) decoupling of summer growth rates from the limiting effect of low summer temperature due to higher frequency of climatically optimal days. Our results highlight that the cambial kinetics stimulation by increasing spring and summer temperatures and shifting spring phenology determine the recent growth trends of treeline ecosystems. Redistribution of individual climatic factors controlling cambial activity during the growing season questions the temporal stability of climatic signal of cold forest chronologies under ongoing climate change.
Xylem Anatomical Variability in White Spruce at Treeline Is Largely Driven by Spatial Clustering
(2020)
The ecological function of boreal forests is challenged by drastically changing climate conditions. Although an increasing number of studies are investigating how climate change is influencing growth and distribution of boreal tree species, there is a lack of studies examining the potential of these species to genetically adapt or phenotypically adjust. Here, we sampled clonally and non-clonally growing white spruce trees (Picea glauca [Moench] Voss) to investigate spatial and genetic effects on tree ring width and on six xylem anatomical traits representing growth, water transport, mechanical support, and wood density. We compared different methods for estimating broad sense heritability (H2) of each trait and we evaluated the effects of spatial grouping and genetic grouping on the xylem anatomical traits with linear models. We found that the three different methods used to estimate H2 were quite robust, showing overall consistent patterns, while our analyses were unsuccessful at fully separating genetic from spatial effects. By evaluating the effect size, we found a significant effect of genetic grouping in latewood density and earlywood hydraulic diameter. However, evaluating model performances showed that spatial grouping was a better predictor than genetic grouping for variance in earlywood density, earlywood hydraulic diameter and growth. For cell wall thickness neither spatial nor genetic grouping was significant. Our findings imply that (1) the variance in the investigated xylem anatomical traits and growth is mainly influenced by spatial clustering (most probably caused by microhabitat conditions), which (2) makes it rather difficult to estimate the heritability of these traits in naturally grown trees in situ. Yet, (3) latewood density and earlywood hydraulic diameter qualified for further analysis on the genetic background of xylem traits and (4) cell wall thickness seems a useful trait to investigate large-scale climatic effects, decoupled from microclimatic, edaphic and genetic influences.
Tree growth at northern boreal treelines is generally limited by summer temperature, hence tree rings serve as natural archives of past climatic conditions. However, there is increasing evidence that a changing summer climate as well as certain micro-site conditions can lead to a weakening or loss of the summer temperature signal in trees growing in treeline environments. This phenomenon poses a challenge to all applications relying on stable temperature-growth relationships such as temperature reconstructions and dynamic vegetation models. We tested the effect of differing ecological and climatological conditions on the summer temperature signal of Scots pine at its northern distribution limits by analyzing twelve sites distributed along a 2200 km gradient from Finland to Western Siberia (Russia). Two frequently used proxies in dendroclimatology, ring width and maximum latewood density, were correlated with summer temperature for the period 1901–2013 separately for (i) dry vs. wet micro-sites and (ii) years with dry/warm vs. wet/cold climate regimes prevailing during the growing season. Differing climate regimes significantly affected the temperature signal of Scots pine at about half of our sites: While correlations were stronger in wet/cold than in dry/warm years at most sites located in Russia, differing climate regimes had only little effect at Finnish sites. Both tree-ring proxies were affected in a similar way. Interestingly, micro-site differences significantly affected absolute tree growth, but had only minor effects on the climatic signal at our sites. We conclude that, despite the treeline-proximal location, growth-limiting conditions seem to be exceeded in dry/warm years at most Russian sites, leading to a weakening or loss of the summer temperature signal in Scots pine here. With projected temperature increase, unstable summer temperature signals in Scots pine tree rings might become more frequent, possibly affecting dendroclimatological applications and related fields.
Tree growth in northern and upper treeline ecotones of the circumpolar boreal forest is
generally limited by temperature, i.e., trees grow generally more under warm, and less under
cold climatic conditions. Based on the assumption that this relationship between tree growth
and climate is linear and stable through time, dendroclimatologists use tree rings as natural
archives to reconstruct past temperature conditions. Such tree-ring based reconstructions,
together with other natural archives (e.g., ice cores and pollen), constitute our understanding of
past climatic conditions that reach beyond modern instrumental records.
However, a steadily increasing amount of studies reports a recent reduction or loss of the
summer temperature signal for several species and sites of the boreal forest. Such a reduction
of temperature sensitivity results in temporally unstable climate-tree growth relationships,
which challenges the work of dendroclimatologists by potentially leading to miscalibrations of
past climatic conditions. On the upside, this shift in the trees’ climate sensitivity might point to
a shift in tree growth-limiting factors and thus serve as an early indicator of climate change
impacts. There is evidence that this recent reduction in temperature sensitivity might be caused
by the observed strong temperature increase at high latitudes, and thus temperature-induced
drought stress. Other potential drivers and amplifiers of this phenomenon are differing microsite
conditions (dry vs. wet soils) and factors inherent to trees, like genetic properties or age
effects.
In this PhD thesis, I systematically assessed the effects of frequently discussed drivers of
unstable climate-tree growth relationships (climate change, micro-site effects, genetical
predisposition) on two representative species of the boreal forest, white spruce in North
America and Scots pine in Eurasia, across various temporal and spatial scales. I used classical
(tree-ring width) and more novel (wood density, quantitative wood anatomy)
dendrochronological proxies to unravel the effects from annual to sub-monthly resolution.
More precisely, in chapter I, white spruce clones were compared to non-clones at two treeline
sites in Alaska to test whether their growth patterns differ, and whether white spruce clones are
generally suitable for dendroclimatic assessments. Clonal reproduction is frequent at treeline
due to harsh conditions, but might lead to competition among individuals due to the close
proximity among each other, which in turn might obscure their climatic signal. Second, I tested
the effect of warmer and drier climatic conditions on the summer temperature signal of Scots
pine in Eurasia (chapter II) and on the growing season moisture signal of white spruce in North
America (chapter III), respectively. Temperature-induced drought stress is expected to be the
most important driver of unstable climate-growth relationships in the boreal forest. I included
several sites across latitudinal (50-150 km) and longitudinal (1,000-2,200 km) gradients to
cover large parts of the species’ distribution ranges. Since Scots pine covers a wide range of
ecological habitats, I additionally tested the effect of dry and wet micro-site conditions on the
summer temperature signal of Scots pine in chapter II. Finally, in chapter IV, a systematic
literature review was carried out in order to investigate the distribution of unstable climategrowth
relationships in global tree-ring studies, and the usage of such series in climate
reconstructions. Furthermore, the scientific impact of these potentially inaccurate climate
reconstructions was assessed.
In this PhD project, warmer and drier climatic conditions led to temporally unstable climate
signals in both Scots pine (chapter II) and white spruce (chapter III), as expected. Unstable
climate-growth relationships were found for all tested tree-ring proxies and at all sites in North
America, and at most sites in Eurasia. Micro-site effects (chapter II) and clonal growth
(chapter I) had no significant effect on the climate sensitivity and high-frequency variability
of the tested species, but affected absolute growth. The review (chapter IV) revealed that the
phenomenon of unstable climate-growth relationships is globally widespread, and occurs
independent of tree species, geographic location, and tree-ring and climate proxies. While
reconstructions inferred from these unstable relationships are frequent and respective papers
have a high impact, the tree-ring community seems to increasingly recognize the challenge of
unstable climate-growth relationships.
With these findings, this PhD project helped to shed more light on the frequency, underlying
drivers, and the impact of unstable climate-growth relationships in boreal forest trees, as well
as underlying reaction processes in trees. Above all, this PhD project suggests that the loss of
climate sensitivity is caused by a change of growth limiting factors: temperature limitation
seems to be suspended in warmer and drier years for Scots pine in Eurasia, and moisture
limitation first arises under warm/dry conditions for white spruce in North America. Due to
plastic growth responses in trees, the general assumption in dendroclimatology – that climategrowth
relationships are stable through time – seems to be incompatible with the principle of
limiting factors (one factors is always most growth limiting).
To improve the validity of future climate reconstructions, statistical approaches considering
synchronously or changing climatic limiting factors need to be promoted, along with attempts
to select the best responding trees from a dataset. Furthermore, a better understanding of nonclimatic
factors potentially affecting tree growth (e.g., age, disturbance, soil parameters) is
needed. A growth reduction of mature and dominant white spruce trees sampled in this PhD
project seems likely under future warming conditions, with series of wood cells being valuable
early indicators of climate change effects in white spruce. However, inferences cannot be
extended to the entire stand due to the applied sample design. Projected climate warming will
probably lead to a further reduction of the summer temperature signal in trees of the northern
boreal forest, while wider consequences for forest growth and productivity are unclear.