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Background: Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of death worldwide. Subclinical alterations of the cardiovascular system, such as increased exercise blood pressure or an endothelial dysfunction confer a higher risk of manifest cardiovascular diseases and incident events. Detecting associations between circulating markers of the endocrine-metabolic system and the subclinical cardiovascular phenotypes could be useful to better understand cardiovascular disease progression and to improve risk prediction for manifest cardiovascular diseases. Methods: The associations between (a) serum thyroid-stimulating hormone and increased exercise blood pressure, (b) serum hemoglobin A1c and endothelial dysfunction as well as (c) serum insulin-like growth factor I and endothelial dysfunction were studied using cross-sectional data from around 1400 subjects aged 25 to 85 years collected during the 5-year follow-up of the population-based Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP-1). Increased exercise blood pressure was defined as a value above the sex- and age-specific 80th percentile measured at the 100 W stage of a symptom-limited bicycle ergometry test. Endothelial dysfunction was defined as an impaired flow-mediated dilation measured as a continuous decrease or below the median of sex-specific distribution. Non-fasting blood samples were drawn from the cubital vein in the supine position. Results: The odds for increased systolic exercise blood pressure (odds ratio 1.24, 95% confidence interval 0.88; 1.76) and diastolic exercise blood pressure (odds ratio 0.98, 95% confidence interval 0.70; 1.39) as well as for exercise-induced increase of systolic and diastolic blood pressure were not significantly different between subjects with high and low serum thyroid-stimulating hormone levels within the reference range. In women without current use of antihypertensive medication, increasing serum hemoglobin A1c levels were associated with decreasing flow-mediated dilation levels (ß = -1.17, 95% confidence interval -2.03; -0.30). Such an association was not found in men. In men, logistic regression analysis revealed an odds ratio of 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.07; 1.51) for decreased flow-mediated dilation for each decrement of serum insulin-like growth factor I standard deviation. In women, no significant association between serum insulin-like growth factor I levels and flow-mediated dilation was observed (odds ratio 0.88, 95% confidence interval 0.74; 1.05). Conclusions: Based on the presented results it is concluded that (a) serum thyroid-stimulating hormone levels are not associated with exercise blood pressure in the general population, (b) higher serum hemoglobin A1c levels in non-diabetic subjects are inversely associated with flow-mediated dilation in women without antihypertensive medication, but not in men, and (c) lower serum insulin-like growth factor I levels are associated with impaired endothelial function in men, but not in women. Therefore the metabolic marker hemoglobin A1c and the endocrine marker insulin-like growth factor I might be markers facilitating the identification of subjects at high risk of subclinical cardiovascular alterations.
Background: Alcohol consumption accounts for a high burden of disease. The general population of West Pomerania has been characterized as a population at risk with a high prevalence of behavioural risk factors such as alcohol risk drinking. This is reflected by the high proportion of patients being admitted to general hospitals due to alcohol-attributable diseases. The aims of the present dissertation were (a) to analyze dose-response relations between volume of alcohol drinking and the risk of diseases with different alcohol-attributable fractions (AAF) in general hospital inpatients (study 1); (b) to assess motivation to change drinking behaviour and motivation to seek help for alcohol problems during their hospital stay as well as changes in motivation to change drinking behaviour, motivation to seek help and changes in daily alcohol consumption across time according to diseases with different AAFs (study 2); and (c) to investigate the association of fatty liver disease (FLD) with blood pressure and hypertension in a general population sample and to test for the specific contribution of alcohol consumption to this association (study 3). Methods: For studies 1 and 2, data from 'Early Intervention at General Hospitals', a randomized controlled trial to test the effectiveness of brief intervention for alcohol problem drinking in general hospitals, were used. Study 1 comprised data from 846 inpatients, study 2 comprised data from 294 inpatients aged 18 to 64 years with alcohol problem drinking and alcohol-attributable diseases from four general hospitals in West Pomerania. Hospital diagnoses were classified according to their AAF: (1) diseases wholly attributable to alcohol consumption by definition (AAF=1), (2) diseases partially attributable to alcohol consumption (AAF<1), and (3) diseases with no relation to alcohol consumption or where alcohol consumption has been found to be a protective factor (AAF=0). Study 3 encompassed data from the 'Study of Health in Pomerania', a general population sample of 3191 adults aged 20-79 years. FLD was defined using ultrasound in combination with increased serum alanine aminotransferase levels. Results: Analyses showed that 46.8% of the general hospital inpatients had a disease attributable to alcohol consumption. There was a dose-response relationship between volume of alcohol drinking and the risk of diseases with different AAFs. Inpatients consuming >120 g and inpatients consuming 61-120 g of pure alcohol per day revealed significantly higher odds for diseases with AAF=1 compared to inpatients consuming 31-60 g of pure alcohol per day with odds ratios (OR) of 6.3 (95% CI 3.6-11.3) and 2.9 (95% CI 1.6-5.1), respectively. Regarding diseases with AAF<1, inpatients consuming >120 g of pure alcohol per day had significantly higher odds compared to inpatients consuming 31-60 g of pure alcohol per day (OR 2.0, CI 1.2-3.4). Analyses on motivation to change drinking behaviour and on motivation to seek help at hospitalization revealed that motivation to change drinking behaviour was higher among inpatients with alcohol-attributable diseases than among inpatients without alcohol-attributable diseases (p<.001). Among inpatients with AAF=1, motivation to seek help was higher than among inpatients with AAF<1 and AAF=0 (p<.001). While motivation to change drinking behaviour remained stable within one year after hospitalization in all three AAF groups, motivation to seek help decreased in this time period. The volume of alcohol consumed decreased in all three AAF groups within one year after hospitalization. Data from the general population study revealed that FLD was associated with blood pressure and hypertension at baseline and at five-year examination follow-up. For example, the chance of hypertension at both time points was threefold higher in individuals with FLD (OR 2.8, CI 1.3-6.2; OR 3.1, CI 1.7-5.8, respectively) compared to individuals without FLD. Analyses further revealed that the association of FLD with blood pressure and hypertension was independent of alcohol consumption. Conclusion: The results of the present dissertation provide relevant implications for public health. In view of the high proportion of general hospital inpatients with alcohol-attributable diseases, a screening procedure for problem drinking is needed. Furthermore, appropriate interventions considering the inpatient’s motivational level have to be implemented. The concept of AAFs to classify disease conditions according to their causal relationship with alcohol consumption might be a tool to detect inpatients with problem drinking. The results regarding FLD and its association with blood pressure and hypertension demonstrate that it is important to pay attention to alcohol-attributable diseases in the general population and that alcohol-attributable diseases are associated with subsequent serious sequelae. The results of the present work further indicate that the concept to distinguish between alcoholic and non-alcoholic origin of FLD might be obsolete and should be replaced by a concept that regards FLD as a multifactorial disease condition.
Background: It has not been investigated whether there are associations between urinary iodine (UI) excretion measurements some years apart, nor whether such an association remains after adjustment for nutritional habits. The aim of the present study was to investigate the relation between iodine-creatinine ratio (ICR) at two measuring points 5 years apart. Methods: Data from 2,659 individuals from the Study of Health in Pomerania were analyzed. Analysis of covariance and Poisson regressions were used to associate baseline with follow-up ICR. Results: Baseline ICR was associated with follow-up ICR. Particularly, baseline ICR >300 µg/g was related to an ICR >300 µg/g at follow-up (relative risk, RR: 2.20; p < 0.001). The association was stronger in males (RR: 2.64; p < 0.001) than in females (RR: 1.64; p = 0.007). In contrast, baseline ICR <100 µg/g was only associated with an ICR <100 µg/g at follow-up in males when considering unadjusted ICR. Conclusions: We detected only a weak correlation with respect to low ICR. Studies assessing iodine status in a population should take into account that an individual with a low UI excretion in one measurement is not necessarily permanently iodine deficient. On the other hand, current high ICR could have been predicted by high ICR 5 years ago.
Effectiveness of Varenicline as an Aid to Smoking Cessation in Primary Care: An Observational Study
(2012)
Aims: Although varenicline is commonly prescribed in primary care, information on smoking-related comorbidities and the effectiveness of varenicline in this context in Germany is scarce. This study assessed the efficacy and safety of varenicline in a large sample of patients seeking smoking cessation treatment through their general practitioners. The frequency of comorbidities was also evaluated. Methods: This was a 12-week, prospective, observational, non-comparative phase IV trial conducted in Germany. Abstinence rates at week 12 were evaluated by verbal reporting using the nicotine use inventory. Results: Overall, 1,391 subjects were enrolled; 1,177 received study medication and were evaluated for effectiveness and safety. At the end of the study, 71.1% (95% confidence interval 68.5–73.7) of subjects were abstinent. There were a total of 205 all-causality adverse events; 2.2% were classified as serious or severe. There were no fatal adverse events. At inclusion, 66.7% of participants had at least 1 concurrent comorbidity, with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (35.5%), hypertension (29.6%) and depression (10.4%) being the most commonly reported. Conclusion: These real-world data indicate that varenicline is an effective and well-tolerated smoking cessation treatment when used in the primary care setting including patients with smoking-related comorbidities.
SummaryBackground: According to the literature, ductoscopy is gaining increasing importance in the diagnosis of intraductal anomalies in cases of pathologic nipple discharge. In a multicenter study, the impact of this method was assessed in comparison with that of standard diagnostics. Patients and Methods: Between 09/2006 and 05/2009, a total of 214 patients from 7 German breast centers were included. All patients underwent elective ductoscopy and subsequent ductal excision because of pathologic nipple discharge. Ductoscopy was compared with the following standard diagnostics: breast sonography, mammography, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), galactography, cytologic nipple swab, and ductal lavage cytology. The histological and imaging results were compared and contrasted to the results obtained from the nipple swab and cytologic assessment. Results: Sonography had the highest (82.9%) sensitivity, followed by MRI (82.5%), galactography (81.3%), ductoscopy (71.2%), lavage cytology (57.8%), mammography (57.1%), and nipple swab (22.8%). Nipple swabs had the highest (85.5%) specificity, followed by lavage cytology (85.2%), ductoscopy (49.4%), galactography (44.4%), mammography (33.3%), sonography (17.9%), and MRI (11.8%). Conclusion: Currently, ductoscopy provides a direct intraoperative visualization of intraductal lesions. Sensitivity and specificity are similar to those of standard diagnostics. The technique supports selective duct excision, in contrast to the unselective technique according to Urban. Therefore, ductoscopy extends the interventional/diagnostic armamentarium.
Prostate volume estimation in MR images for epidemiological and clinical studies – new methods
(2014)
Benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) is one of the most widespread diseases among men older than 50 years. The literature provides various cut-off values for pathological enlargement of the prostate. Prostate volume (PV) measurement in large population-based studies would allow deriving more objective reference values and a more valid early BPH diagnosis. A fully automated method is therefore required. In the clinical context, the measurement of the PV is important for treatment response monitoring in the clinical applications for BPH management research, and an accurate method for PV is essential. Magnetic Resonance Imaging was used for PV estimation. Two methods based on the Support Vector Machines (SVM) were developed: the binary Support Vector Machines (C SVM)-based method for epidemiological studies and the single-class Support Vector Machines (S SVM)-based method for clinical studies. The second method was additionally compared to the ellipsoid formula for PV estimation, which is widespread in the clinic. The comparison between volume measurement of the C SVM-based method and manual delineation of observers A and B yielded a strong correlation (Spearmans rank correlation coefficients ñ of 0.936 [p < 0.001] and 0.859 [p < 0.001], respectively). Comparing the C SVM-based method and the two manual delineations by observers A and B shows an agreement with a mean difference of 3.0 ml (95% confidence interval of -3.1 to +9.2 ml) and 1.9 ml (95% confidence interval of −7.1 to +10.8 ml), respectively. The S SVM-based method and the reference PV (manual delineation of observer A) show excellent correlation (Spearmans rank correlation coefficient ñ = 0.965, p < 0.001), while the ellipsoid formula is less well correlated with the reference PV (Spearmans rank correlation coefficient ñ = 0.873, p < 0.001). The mean difference between S SVM and the reference PV was −0.05 ml (95% confidence interval of −3.8 to +3.7 ml); on the other hand, the mean difference between the ellipsoid formula and the reference PV was much greater, with 8.6 ml (95% confidence interval of +1 to +16.2 ml). The C SVM-based method has considerable potential for integration in epidemiological studies. The prostate volumes obtained by the S SVM-based method agreed excellently with the reference and would be clinically useful for urologists in prostate volumetric analysis.
Type 2 diabetes mellitus is one of the most challenging health problems for the next decades. The impact of type 2 diabetes mellitus on health care systems is largely driven by the increasing prevalence, the management of the disease and subsequent comorbidities, even in people with prediabetes or undiagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus. An early detection of high risk groups is necessary to identify and modify risk factors such as obesity, physical inactivity or cigarette smoking which showed regional disparities in their distribution within a country. This leads to the assumption that there might be regional disparities regarding the prevalence and incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus as well. For Germany as for other countries, comparable data on possible regional disparities in the prevalence and incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus are missing. The aim of the present dissertation is to estimate the prevalence and incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus on regional level within Germany, and to estimate the smoking prevalence as a modifiable risk factor in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus using data from the Diabetes Collaborative Research of Epidemiologic Studies consortium (DIAB CORE) within the Competence Net Diabetes in Germany. Well comparable data of five regional studies and one nationwide reference study are included: the Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP); the Cardiovascular Disease, Living and Ageing in Halle Study (CARLA); the Dortmund Health Study (DHS); the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study (HNR); the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg Study (KORA); and the German National Health Interview and Examination Survey 1998 (GNHIES 98). First, the prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus was estimated. Data from five regional population-based studies and one nationwide study conducted between 1997 and 2006 with participants aged 45 to 74 years were analyzed. Type 2 diabetes mellitus prevalence estimates based on self-reports (standardized to the German population for the regional studies, reference date 2007/12/31) were compared. Of 11,688 participants of the regional studies, 1,008 had a known type 2 diabetes mellitus, corresponding to a prevalence of 8.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 8.1% 9.1%). The standardized prevalence was highest in the East with 12.0% (95% CI 10.3% 13.7%) and lowest in the South of Germany with 5.8% (95% CI 4.9% 6.7%).Second, the incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus was estimated. Data from participants (baseline age 45 to 74 years) from five regional population-based studies were included. The incidence rates per 1,000 person-years (95% CI) and the cumulative incidence (95% CI) from regional studies were directly standardized to the German population (reference date 2007/12/31) and weighted by inverse probability weights for losses to follow-up. Of 8,787 participants, 521 (5.9%) developed type 2 diabetes mellitus corresponding to an incidence rate of 11.8 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 10.8 12.9). The incidence of known type 2 diabetes mellitus showed regional disparities within Germany. The incidence was highest in the East and lowest in the South of Germany with 16.9 (95% CI 13.3 21.8) vs. 9.0 (95% CI 7.4 11.1) per 1,000 person-years, respectively. Third, the smoking prevalence in participants aged 20 to 79 years with type 2 diabetes mellitus in the regional SHIP and the nationwide GNHIES 98 was estimated. Prevalence estimates of cigarette smoking were calculated using weights reflecting the European adult population (reference date 2005/12/31). The overall prevalence of current smoking was lower among participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus than among participants without type 2 diabetes mellitus (17.3% vs. 38.0% in SHIP and 24.7% vs. 32.1% in GNHIES 98). In both studies, the prevalence of current smoking was highest in men aged 20 to 39 years, in particular among men with type 2 diabetes mellitus. To conclude, considerable disparities in prevalence and incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus indicate the need for interventions on the regional level within Germany. Former smoking was more prevalent among both men and women with type 2 diabetes mellitus in comparison to current and non-smoking. This finding probably reflects behavioural changes secondary to the disease onset and medical counselling. The finding that men aged 20 to 39 years with type 2 diabetes mellitus were more often current smokers than men without type 2 diabetes mellitus underpins the importance of smoking as one of the main modifiable risk factors for type 2 diabetes mellitus.
Context: 3,5-Diiodo-<smlcap>L</smlcap>-thyronine (3,5-T<sub>2</sub>) is a thyroid hormone metabolite which exhibited versatile effects in rodent models, including the prevention of insulin resistance or hepatic steatosis typically forced by a high-fat diet. With respect to euthyroid humans, we recently observed a putative link between serum 3,5-T<sub>2</sub> and glucose but not lipid metabolism. Objective: The aim of the present study was to widely screen the urine metabolome for associations with serum 3,5-T<sub>2</sub> concentrations in healthy individuals. Study Design and Methods: Urine metabolites of 715 euthyroid participants of the population-based Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP-TREND) were analyzed by <sup>1</sup>H-NMR spectroscopy. Multinomial logistic and multivariate linear regression models were used to detect associations between urine metabolites and serum 3,5-T<sub>2</sub> concentrations. Results: Serum 3,5-T<sub>2</sub> concentrations were positively associated with urinary levels of trigonelline, pyroglutamate, acetone and hippurate. In detail, the odds for intermediate or suppressed serum 3,5-T<sub>2</sub> concentrations doubled owing to a 1-standard deviation (SD) decrease in urine trigonelline levels, or increased by 29-50% in relation to a 1-SD decrease in urine pyroglutamate, acetone and hippurate levels. Conclusion: Our findings in humans confirmed the metabolic effects of circulating 3,5-T<sub>2</sub> on glucose and lipid metabolism, oxidative stress and enhanced drug metabolism as postulated before based on interventional pharmacological studies in rodents. Of note, 3,5-T<sub>2</sub> exhibited a unique urinary metabolic profile distinct from previously published results for the classical thyroid hormones.
Previous studies on the antimicrobial activity of cold atmospheric pressure argon plasma showed varying effects against mecA<sup>+</sup> or mecA<sup>-</sup>Staphylococcus aureus strains. This observation may have important clinical and epidemiological implications. Here, the antibacterial activity of argon plasma was investigated against 78 genetically different S. aureus strains, stratified by mecA, luk-P, agr1-4, or the cell wall capsule polysaccharide types 5 and 8. kINPen09® served as the plasma source for all experiments. On agar plates, mecA<sup>+</sup>luk-P<sup>-</sup>S. aureus strains showed a decreased susceptibility against plasma compared to other S. aureus strains. This study underlines the high complexity of microbial defence against antimicrobial treatment and confirms a previously reported strain-dependent susceptibility of S. aureus to plasma treatment.
Background: The plasminogen activator system plays a key role in ovarian cancer (OC) tumor progression. The plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1 (PAI-1) and the recently identified PAI-1 RNA binding protein 1 (PAI-RBP1) are primary regulators of plasminogen activation and thus are putative biomarkers for OC progression. Methods: One hundred fifty six OC patients were analyzed to identify the presence of PAI-1 and PAI-RBP1 and subsequently correlated to clinicopathological parameters. Primary cells obtained from OC patient samples were applied in fluorescence microscopy analysis for examination of PAI-1 and PAI-RBP1 distribution. Results: PAI-1 and PAI-RBP1 have been found to be predictive markers for OC patients' outcome. PAI-1 levels significantly correlated with volume of ascites, FIGO staging, and lymph node status. PAI-RBP1 expression significantly correlated with age at first diagnosis, histological tumor type, presence of distant metastasis (pM), and recurrence. PAI-1 showed a trend toward association and PAI-RBP1 was significantly associated with progression-free survival. Notably, PAI-1 protein in recurrent OC tissues was exclusively localized in the nucleus. Conclusion: This study has shown that a combination of PAI-1 and PAI-RBP1 may represent novel prognostic factor for OC. Prospective trials are needed.
Activation of trace amine-associated receptor 1 (TAAR1) in endocrine pancreas is involved in weight regulation and glucose homeostasis. The purpose of this study was the identification and characterization of potential TAAR1 variants in patients with overweight/obesity and disturbed glucose homeostasis. Screening for TAAR1 variants was performed in 314 obese or overweight patients with impaired insulin secretion. The detected variants were functionally characterized concerning TAAR1 cell surface expression and signaling properties and their allele frequencies were determined in the population-based Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP). Three heterozygous carriers of the single nucleotide missense variants p.Arg23Cys (R23C, rs8192618), p.Ser49Leu (S49L, rs140960896), and p.Ille171Leu (I171L, rs200795344) were detected in the patient cohort. While p.Ser49Leu and p.Ille171Leu were found in obese/overweight patients with slightly impaired glucose homeostasis, p.Arg23Cys was identified in a patient with a complete loss of insulin production. Functional in vitro characterization revealed a like wild-type function for I171L, partial loss of function for S49L and a complete loss of function for R23C. The frequency of the R23C variant in 2018 non-diabetic control individuals aged 60 years and older in the general population-based SHIP cohort was lower than in the analyzed patient sample. Both variants are rare in the general population indicating a recent origin in the general gene pool and/or the consequence of pronounced purifying selection, in line with the obvious detrimental effect of the mutations. In conclusion, our study provides hints for the existence of naturally occurring TAAR1 variants with potential relevance for weight regulation and glucose homeostasis.
Background: Securing future blood supply is a major issue of transfusion safety. In this prospective 10-year longitudinal study we enrolled all blood donation services and hospitals of the federal state Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. Methods and Results: From 2005 to 2015 (time period with major demographic effects), whole blood donation numbers declined by 18%. In male donors this paralleled the demographic change, while donation rates of females declined 12.4% more than expected from demography. In parallel, red cell transfusion rates/1,000 population decreased from 2005 to 2015 from 56 to 51 (-8.4%), primarily due to less transfusions in patients >60 years. However, the transfusion demand declined much less than blood donation numbers: -13.5% versus -18%, and the population >65 years (highest transfusion demand) will further increase. The key question is whether the decline in transfusion demand observed over the previous years will further continue, hereby compensating for reduced blood donation numbers due to the demographic change. The population structure of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania reflects all Eastern German federal states, while the Western German federal states will reach similar ratios of age groups 18-64 years / ≥65 years about 10 years later. Conclusions: Regular monitoring of age- and sex-specific donation and transfusion data is urgently required to allow transfusion services strategic planning for securing future blood supply.
Do We Need to Rethink the Epidemiology and Healthcare Utilization of Parkinson's Disease in Germany?
(2018)
Epidemiological aspects of Parkinson's disease (PD), co-occurring diseases and medical healthcare utilization of PD patients are still largely elusive. Based on claims data of 3.7 million statutory insurance members in Germany in 2015 the prevalence and incidence of PD was determined. PD cases had at least one main hospital discharge diagnosis of PD, or one physician diagnosis confirmed by a subsequent or independent diagnosis or by PD medication in 2015. Prevalence of (co-)occurring diseases, mortality, and healthcare measures in PD cases and matched controls were compared. In 2015, 21,714 prevalent PD cases (standardized prevalence: 511.4/100,000 persons) and 3,541 incident PD cases (standardized incidence: 84.1/100,000 persons) were identified. Prevalence of several (co-)occurring diseases/complications, e.g., dementia (PD/controls: 39/13%), depression (45/22%), bladder dysfunction (46/22%), and diabetes (35/31%), as well as mortality (10.7/5.8%) differed between PD cases and controls. The annual healthcare utilization was increased in PD cases compared to controls, e.g., regarding mean ± SD physician contacts (15.2 ± 7.6/12.2 ± 7.3), hospitalizations (1.3 ± 1.8/0.7 ± 1.4), drug prescriptions (overall: 37.7 ± 24.2/21.7 ± 19.6; anti-PD medication: 7.4 ± 7.4/0.1 ± 0.7), assistive/therapeutic devices (47/30%), and therapeutic remedies (57/16%). The standardized prevalence and incidence of PD in Germany as well as mortality in PD may be substantially higher than reported previously. While frequently diagnosed with co-occurring diseases/complications, such as dementia, depression, bladder dysfunction and diabetes, the degree of healthcare utilization shows large variability between PD patients. These findings encourage a rethinking of the epidemiology and healthcare utilization in PD, at least in Germany. Longitudinal studies of insurance claims data should further investigate the individual and epidemiological progression and healthcare demands in PD.
Mendelian randomization (MR) is a framework for assessing causal inference using cross-sectional data in combination with genetic information. This paper summarizes statistical methods commonly applied and strait forward to use for conducting MR analyses including those taking advantage of the rich dataset of SNP-trait associations that were revealed in the last decade through large-scale genome-wide association studies. Using these data, powerful MR studies are possible. However, the causal estimate may be biased in case the assumptions of MR are violated. The source and the type of this bias are described while providing a summary of the mathematical formulas that should help estimating the magnitude and direction of the potential bias depending on the specific research setting. Finally, methods for relaxing the assumptions and for conducting sensitivity analyses are discussed. Future researches in the field of MR include the assessment of non-linear causal effects, and automatic detection of invalid instruments.
Mendelian randomization (MR) is a framework for assessing causal inference using cross-sectional data in combination with genetic information. This paper summarizes statistical methods commonly applied and strait forward to use for conducting MR analyses including those taking advantage of the rich dataset of SNP-trait associations that were revealed in the last decade through large-scale genome-wide association studies. Using these data, powerful MR studies are possible. However, the causal estimate may be biased in case the assumptions of MR are violated. The source and the type of this bias are described while providing a summary of the mathematical formulas that should help estimating the magnitude and direction of the potential bias depending on the specific research setting. Finally, methods for relaxing the assumptions and for conducting sensitivity analyses are discussed. Future researches in the field of MR include the assessment of non-linear causal effects, and automatic detection of invalid instruments.
Iodine deficiency disorders (IDD) result from insufficient iodine intake, and may lead to many adverse effects on growth, development and thyroid diseases in humans.
Pakistan is a country with history of iodine deficiency.
Before reunification both parts of Germany were iodine deficient. In the Eastern part, however, due to mandatory iodine prophylaxis adaptation in 1983, the iodine status of the population improved from moderate to mild iodine deficiency. After the reunification of Germany in 1989 “voluntary principle” was adopted leading again to a decrease in iodine intake. Germany and Pakistan present different socioeconomics, cultural values and adaptations to the IDD eradication but have resemblance in history of iodine deficiency. In the recent years Germany has improved in IDD eradication more than Pakistan. The purpose of this research was to study the regional influence on iodine nutritional status of pregnant women in Pakistan and to monitor the effectiveness of the iodine fortification programme in the North-East German population.
Pregnant women data was obtained from randomly selected (public and private) prenatal clinics in five districts of the KPK province of Pakistan. Women visited there for their routine checkup between March and September 2012. Data were obtained from almost 250 pregnant women from each district reaching to a total of 1260 in all five districts.
The SHIP project consists of two population-based cohorts, for which only individuals with German citizenship and main residency in the study area were recruited. In the first SHIP cohort; SHIP-0, individuals aged 20-79 years were selected from population registries by a two-stage cluster sampling method. The net sample (without migrated or deceased persons) comprised 6265 eligible subjects, of which 4308 (response 68.8%) participated between 1997 and 2001. A separate stratified random sample of 8826 adults aged 20-79 years was drawn for SHIP-Trend, of which 4420 subjects participated between 2008 and 2012 (response 50.1%) in SHIP-Trend-0.
All the pregnant women were asked to complete a short interview questionnaire containing the information related to sources and reasons for intake and non-intake of iodized salt. The questionnaire also comprised questions related to knowledge of iodized salt nutrition. Information on the number of previous pregnancies and/or abortions (fetal loss due to various reasons, not including voluntary termination of pregnancy) was also obtained. The gestational age of the pregnant women was determined from the first day of the last regular menstrual period with gestational ages of ≤14.9, 28.9, and ≥29 weeks comprising the first, second, and third trimesters of pregnancy, respectively. For goiter assessment in pregnant women the WHO/UNICEF/IGN recommended palpation method was used. UIC was measured using a modification of the Sandell-Kolthoff reaction with spectrophotometric detection. Evaluation of group iodine status was based on median UIC categories defined by the WHO/IGN. These are: recommended – median 150-249 μg/L; mild iodine deficiency – median <150 μg/L.
For the analysis of monitoring trends of thyroid diseases in SHIP, diagnosed thyroid disorders were assessed by computer-assisted personal interviews. Medication data were obtained online using the IDOM program (online drug-database leaded medication assessment) and classified according to the Anatomical-Therapeutic-Chemical (ATC) classification system.In SHIP population goiter assessment was based on thyroid volume determined with ultrasonography. Goiter was defined as a thyroid volume exceeding 18 mL in women and 25 mL in men. Urinary iodine concentrations were measured from spot urine samples by a photometric procedure. Urinary creatinine concentrations were determined with the Jaffé method. Evaluation of group iodine status was based on median UIC categories defined by the WHO/IGN. The iodine/creatinine ratio was calculated by dividing urinary iodine by urinary creatinine concentrations. Serum TSH, fT3, fT4 levels in SHIP study were measured by an immunochemiluminescent procedure. A method comparison between the two TSH laboratory methods showed only negligible differences. High and low serum TSH levels were based on the reference range established from data for SHIP-0 (0.25 mIU/L - 2.12 mIU/L) and SHIP-TREND-0 (0.49 mIU/L - 3.29 mIU/L) respectively (21,22). Anti-TPO Abs were measured by an enzyme immunoassay in the whole SHIP study. The anti-TPO Abs status was defined as follows: normal < 60 IU/ml in men and < 100 IU/ml in women; increased > 60 IU/ml in men and > 100 IU/ml in women; positive: > 200 IU/ml in both sexes.
Thyroid ultrasonography was performed in SHIP-0 using an ultrasound VST-Gateway with a 5 MHz linear array transducer. In SHIP-Trend-0 ultrasonography was performed with a portable device using a 13-MHz linear array transducer. In both studies intra- and inter-observer reliabilities were assessed before the start of the study and semi-annually during the study. For thyroid volume all inter-observer and inter-device variabilities showed mean differences (±2 SD)of < 5% (<25%). Thyroid volume was calculated as length x width x depth x 0.479 (ml) for each lobe (26). The normal thyroid echo pattern was classified as homogeneous. A homogeneous echo pattern with reduced echogenicity was defined as hypoechogenic. Nodular changes exceeding 10 mm in diameter were defined as thyroid nodules.
Multivariable logistic regression analysis adjusting for age was used to regress the outcome measures (knowledge about IDD, iodized salt intake, UIC <150mIU/L and goiter prevalence) on regional influences (as exposure) in each specific district. These results are presented as odd ratios and their 95% confidence interval.
For the analysis in SHIP, all analyses were standardized by base-weights to account for different sampling probabilities. In SHIP-Trend-0, additionally, inverse probability weights for study participation were calculated, which were multiplied with the base-weights. Differences in median levels between SHIP-0 and SHIP-Trend-0 were tested by median regression models; prevalence differences between SHIP-0 and SHIP-Trend-0 were tested by Poisson regression models.
The majority of pregnant women (88.0%) had no knowledge about IDD. A very high (79%) percentage of pregnant women were not taking iodized salt, out of which 36.6% reported that iodized salt would negatively affect reproduction and for 17.0%, it was too expensive. Iodized salt intake in pregnant women was high in the big cities (Peshawar, Nowshehra) and in the urban areas (27.0%)
In 41.3% of the pregnant women, we observed a UIC of >150mIU/L. The median UIC level for the pregnant women was 131µg/L. The total goiter prevalence in pregnant women was 25.5%. The prevalence of UIC <150mIU/L in pregnant women did not differ between rural and urban areas. The results based on logistic regression analysis shows that the prevalence on knowledge about IDD, iodized salt intake, UIC <150mIU/L, and goiter did not differ in pregnant women between urban and rural areas. In district Lakki Marwat except, the pregnant women from urban residence had higher odds of having knowledge on IDD and iodized salt intake than their rural counterparts.
The prevalence of diagnosed thyroid disorders increased from 7.6% [CI 6.9-8.5] in SHIP-0 to 18.9% [CI 17.6-20.1] in SHIP-Trend-0. Likewise, the prevalence of thyroid medication intake increased from 6.2% [CI 5.5-7.0] to 11.1% [CI 10.1-12.2]. The median urinary iodine excretion levels decreased significantly, which was more pronounced in females than in males. The median iodine-to-creatinine ratio declined in all sex- and age-groups with stronger decrease in females than in males. The prevalence of median urinary iodine excretion levels <100µg/L increased between SHIP-0 and SHIP-Trend-0. Median serum TSH levels increased significantly between SHIP-0 and SHIP-Trend-0, resulting in a right shift of the serum TSH level distribution. The prevalence of high serum TSH levels remained almost stable between SHIP-0 and SHIP-Trend-0. Likewise, the prevalence of low TSH remained almost stable between SHIP-0 and SHIP-Trend-0. The prevalence of increased anti-TPO Abs and positive anti-TPO Abs decreased from SHIP-0 to SHIP-Trend-0 in the whole study population. The prevalence of hypoechogenic thyroid pattern decreased from SHIP-0 to SHIP-Trend-0. The median thyroid volume remained similar between SHIP-0 and SHIP-Trend-0 in the whole study population. Goiter prevalence decreased significantly; more pronounced in males than in females, while the prevalence of thyroid nodules increased between SHIP-0 and SHIP-Trend-0.
In pregnant women in Pakistan due to insufficient awareness campaigns and low literacy ratio in rural areas urinary iodine excretion levels indicate a stable iodine supply, which is still not sufficient. Our results show that rural/urban disparity is affecting the IDD prevention program in rural districts, but not in general. The SHIP data indicate that the improved iodine supply over the past two decades in Germany is paralleled by a reduction in prevalence of IDDs, while no increase was observed in markers of autoimmune thyroid disorders arguing for an optimal iodine supply of the general adult population in Northeast Germany. The increase in prevalence of diagnosed thyroid disorders and the intake of thyroid medication might be because of inappropriate therapeutical decisions which should be made with caution, based on regional TSH reference ranges, its prognostic value, and compliance with treatment.
Background: Iodine deficiency disorders (IDD) represent a global health threat to individuals and societies. IDD prevention programmes have been introduced in many parts of the world. However, challenges remain, particularly in Europe due to fragmentation and diversity of approaches that are not harmonized. Objectives: This review is dedicated to the public-health impact of IDD prevention programmes. It sums up experiences collected by the EUthyroid consortium so far and provides information on stakeholders that should be involved in actions directed to improve the impact of IDD prevention. Methods: A joint European database for combining registry-based outcome and monitoring data as well as tools for harmonizing study methods were established. Methods for analyzing thyroglobulin from a dried blood spot are available for assessing the iodine status in the general population and at-risk groups. Mother-child cohorts are used for in-depth analysis of the potential impact of mild-to-moderate iodine deficiency on the neurocognitive development of the offspring. A decision-analytic model has been developed to evaluate the long-term effectiveness and cost effectiveness of IDD prevention programmes. Results: EUthyroid has produced tools and infrastructure to improve the quality of IDD monitoring and follows a dissemination strategy targeting policymakers and the general public. There are tight connections to major stakeholders in the field of IDD monitoring and prevention. Conclusions: EUthyroid has taken steps towards achieving a euthyroid Europe. Our challenge is to inspire a greater sense of urgency in both policymakers and the wider public to address this remediable deficit caused by IDD.